CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Legion (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ca7a6588c66518839afa0d05fe1904ccacce4a018216081b84ec204bad99564
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rare Atomof Rare Atom, Legion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdacb…c4fabacked Legion | 13c | 1,326$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.01 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked Rare Atom | 73c | 1,240$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.39 | 149 | 71.8%107 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed Legion | 24c | 1,091$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.69 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Legion | 29c | 540.96$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.56 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Legion | 33c | 435.02$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.95 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Legion | 20c | 419.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Rare Atom | 80c | 228.68$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Rare Atom | 66c | 195.23$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.38 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rare Atom | 64c | 185.19$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Legion | 46c | 184.27$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 402 | 55.2%222 W · 180 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…fae7backed Legion | 48c | 163.71$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Rare Atom | 64c | 92.58$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993e…57d7backed Legion | 48c | 76.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…58c4backed Rare Atom | 79c | 47.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.