CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9de096182ec33fffd2d1ef92c8ec3dd4b0b23b0c3b56fa25ca878df2810b6aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Roosterof Abyssal, Rooster
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Abyssal | 57c | 5,370$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.06 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdacb…c4fabacked Rooster | 31c | 1,602$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.54 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Rooster | 58c | 1,159$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.76 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Rooster | 50c | 1,105$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.53 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…8dcfbacked Rooster | 32c | 865.87$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.43 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +10.2wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Rooster | 63c | 599.72$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.94 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Abyssal | 36c | 443.94$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.02 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…2b32backed Rooster | 62c | 406.05$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.08 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Rooster | 59c | 404.87$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Rooster | 59c | 378.11$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.02 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Rooster | 68c | 358.1$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Rooster | 59c | 330.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Rooster | 59c | 329.06$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.28 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Abyssal | 36c | 284.93$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.69 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Rooster | 62c | 223.54$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Abyssal | 32c | 215$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Abyssal | 32c | 165.62$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Rooster | 61c | 153.52$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rooster | 72c | 149.21$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Abyssal | 34c | 139.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Rooster | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Rooster | 57c | 103.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…fe4bbacked Rooster | 57c | 102.62$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Rooster | 64c | 102.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Rooster | 55c | 100.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Abyssal | 39c | 78.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Rooster | 69c | 71.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…bd88backed Rooster | 59c | 64.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…920bbacked Abyssal | 35c | 60.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Rooster | 59c | 51.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Rooster | 58c | 40.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70e0…6821backed Rooster | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…466dbacked Rooster | 61c | 32.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a84…af78backed Abyssal | 38c | 30.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Rooster | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd667…e6eabacked Abyssal | 39c | 28.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked Rooster | 50c | 25.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd7…c673backed Rooster | 69c | 15.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster - Map 1 WinnerRooster won
- Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster - Map 2 WinnerRooster won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.