TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Astralisof FUT Esports, Astralis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$581,217
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$833,510

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $581,217 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xea79…a9ccbacked Astralis63c82,112$51,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,662.9414954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Astralis61c68,275$41,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,448.8276058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed FUT Esports37c27,039$10,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,004.287454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Astralis59c24,498$14,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,153.3342440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FUT Esports45c17,254$7,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,680.53,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed FUT Esports40c15,555$6,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,22233343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d4d…8525backed FUT Esports44c13,000$5,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,693.441942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed FUT Esports26c12,747$3,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,291.2532425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked FUT Esports37c12,000$4,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4409148.4%44 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93f6…4814backed FUT Esports38c11,791$4,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,480.756126.2%16 W · 45 L-7.9wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-31%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked FUT Esports43c9,976$4,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,244.52,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FUT Esports34c8,615$2,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,913.441,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed FUT Esports34c8,219$2,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,818.8887047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FUT Esports36c8,192$2,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,936.162,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked FUT Esports41c8,129$3,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,33347147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f3…0d4cbacked FUT Esports42c8,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,36010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b86…8c6dbacked Astralis60c7,986$4,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2001100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FUT Esports34c7,690$2,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,590.051,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed FUT Esports41c7,579$3,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,128.0533452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked FUT Esports38c7,252$2,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,785.8640140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Astralis62c6,336$3,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,405.0527658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FUT Esports34c6,000$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.9988746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FUT Esports31c6,000$1,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,863.931,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed FUT Esports42c5,690$2,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,370.8738868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Astralis62c5,681$3,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,162.4638358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Astralis58c5,500$3,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,31041040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked FUT Esports38c5,412$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,059.9113952.5%73 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd8d…a7a8backed FUT Esports36c5,200$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8724748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FUT Esports40c5,045$2,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,006.735,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Astralis61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95045058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed FUT Esports40c4,399$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.642651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Astralis51c4,264$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,073.6832548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x449c…eaf5backed FUT Esports37c4,000$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4904052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed FUT Esports37c4,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50037157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Astralis61c3,469$2,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.8320251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed FUT Esports37c3,398$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.2853746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked FUT Esports40c3,380$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35235242.9%151 W · 201 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FUT Esports59c3,360$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.687,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed FUT Esports27c3,133$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.2449646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed FUT Esports36c3,053$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.0164552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed FUT Esports38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14016152.8%85 W · 76 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2c4…0734backed Astralis60c3,000$1,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,19018848.4%91 W · 97 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed FUT Esports38c2,996$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.463743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked FUT Esports38c2,924$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.053,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb456…4347backed FUT Esports30c2,593$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.9170%0 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Astralis58c2,586$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.2133359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked FUT Esports40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.998562.4%53 W · 32 L+14.2wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed FUT Esports39c2,226$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.9425248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdacb…c4fabacked Astralis62c2,225$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.771752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed Astralis68c2,216$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.547755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked FUT Esports35c2,190$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.8617849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6182…10c8backed FUT Esports43c2,114$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbb…39dabacked FUT Esports58c2,072$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.989349.5%46 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked Astralis63c2,063$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.4946165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Astralis56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.9923243.5%101 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked FUT Esports29c2,000$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.4961228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked FUT Esports38c1,968$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.687948.1%38 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked FUT Esports39c1,966$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.363541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked FUT Esports28c1,925$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53932542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Astralis54c1,850$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.551,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2562…eb9cbacked Astralis74c1,700$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.241172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5454…ceadbacked FUT Esports39c1,700$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.999552.6%50 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x143d…2602backed Astralis59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.9212557.6%72 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Astralis64c1,663$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.722,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0a…07c7backed Astralis62c1,614$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.033756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4089…d9e6backed FUT Esports8c1,544$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.6830%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Astralis56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66097040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Astralis57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64512148.8%59 W · 62 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked FUT Esports34c1,500$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.519741.6%82 W · 115 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed FUT Esports37c1,440$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.1932732.4%106 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7002…395cbacked Astralis70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.572356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked FUT Esports38c1,422$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.5898052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13f2…05f5backed Astralis63c1,410$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-68.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed FUT Esports37c1,349$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49920838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FUT Esports32c1,334$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.491,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x681b…3d79backed FUT Esports47c1,300$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.594546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed FUT Esports34c1,214$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.421,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed FUT Esports55c1,212$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.8645646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked FUT Esports35c1,205$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.241,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked FUT Esports41c1,183$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48553545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed FUT Esports37c1,180$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.5149941.7%208 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed FUT Esports43c1,168$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017460.3%105 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Astralis62c1,120$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.3275245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FUT Esports32c1,059$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.216,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed FUT Esports39c1,030$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.748437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed FUT Esports30c1,029$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.7445639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc99…ce7ebacked Astralis52c1,005$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.9718933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed52…2dbdbacked FUT Esports38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38013553.3%72 W · 63 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Astralis60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40081244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x008b…c1cfbacked FUT Esports37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3706355.6%35 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed FUT Esports41c975.61$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40022252.7%117 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed FUT Esports39c889.98$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.091,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed FUT Esports32c876.12$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.599533.7%32 W · 63 L-9.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Astralis65c830.77$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.7734156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed FUT Esports42c800$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3322,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bcd…2051backed Astralis71c776.73$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.736749.3%33 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed Astralis79c758.61$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.6140048.8%195 W · 205 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked FUT Esports52c749.99$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.263,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf434…1db7backed FUT Esports40c741.59$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2951520%3 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-55.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x91fe…cfd7backed FUT Esports40c740.88$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005444.4%24 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.