CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b7f779e830ad1c8a0a579b943e94cfc43a92ba3355920097037007fd6c3a7c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof FUT Esports, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked FUT Esports | 30c | 12,316$3,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,678.73 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Astralis | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed FUT Esports | 27c | 2,592$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.92 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed FUT Esports | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.93 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Astralis | 73c | 1,900$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.19 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Astralis | 73c | 1,745$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.04 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed FUT Esports | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Astralis | 74c | 1,344$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.39 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…9aabbacked Astralis | 73c | 1,125$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.92 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Astralis | 73c | 999$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.73 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Astralis | 69c | 993.16$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.88 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Astralis | 72c | 608.78$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.6 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Astralis | 73c | 541.1$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.1 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed FUT Esports | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…5fafbacked FUT Esports | 28c | 468.61$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.21 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Astralis | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Astralis | 73c | 236$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed FUT Esports | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed FUT Esports | 28c | 180.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Astralis | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Astralis | 73c | 134.09$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed FUT Esports | 27c | 118$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…bfbfbacked Astralis | 74c | 117.17$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed FUT Esports | 27c | 110$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…2206backed FUT Esports | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked FUT Esports | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Astralis | 74c | 85.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…59a1backed FUT Esports | 29c | 78.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 192 | 38%73 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Astralis | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Astralis | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…8775backed FUT Esports | 28c | 52.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 285 | 56.8%162 W · 123 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…0b56backed FUT Esports | 28c | 48.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c5…5878backed FUT Esports | 28c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…07f9backed FUT Esports | 29c | 37.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Astralis | 73c | 35.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Astralis | 72c | 34.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Astralis | 74c | 30.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Astralis | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…cd3ebacked Astralis | 73c | 27.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Astralis | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Astralis | 74c | 19.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Astralis | 69c | 18.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Astralis | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group AAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.