CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa79682c4558d9c0f9bc9185f5b72014f8738e8c462c8b9c3716ade84cb9ddaca

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Astralisof Astralis, FUT Esports
Resolved: Apr 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $61,566
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $60,085

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,566 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5e6e…be00backed Astralis	30c	25,820$7,670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,149.68	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+19.5wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked FUT Esports	70c	21,373$14,994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,994.13	149	54.4%81 W · 68 L	-6.5wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed FUT Esports	36c	10,000$3,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,600	366	45.4%166 W · 200 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdacb…c4fabacked FUT Esports	31c	9,523$2,952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,952.13	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	42cpaid	+46.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed FUT Esports	60c	2,629$1,589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,588.74	88	62.5%55 W · 33 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44d9…01e3backed FUT Esports	72c	2,100$1,512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,512	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5c2…4933backed FUT Esports	36c	2,003$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$719.63	42	61.9%26 W · 16 L	+5.2wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+34.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a4f…9b0cbacked FUT Esports	70c	1,974$1,382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,382	83	51.8%43 W · 40 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked FUT Esports	46c	1,003$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.93	167	38.9%65 W · 102 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Astralis	31c	967.74$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$667.74	148	48%71 W · 77 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Astralis	51c	940.91$477 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$463.91	391	57.5%225 W · 166 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Astralis	31c	899.99$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$620.99	946	45.8%433 W · 513 L	+18.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Astralis	28c	800$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$576	267	43.1%115 W · 152 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6dd…40cebacked FUT Esports	72c	664$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.08	37	78.4%29 W · 8 L	+6.3wins	+0.17per pick	61cpaid	+34.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Astralis	50c	520$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	219	47.5%104 W · 115 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed FUT Esports	69c	477.23$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.29	482	40%193 W · 289 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked FUT Esports	35c	472.84$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.33	1,650	32.7%540 W · 1,110 L	-49.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24eb…75eebacked FUT Esports	70c	411$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.7	180	43.3%78 W · 102 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Astralis	44c	400$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224	5,830	37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L	+79.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked FUT Esports	36c	339.98$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.39	316	47.8%151 W · 165 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked Astralis	32c	312.5$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.5	278	48.6%135 W · 143 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked FUT Esports	51c	300$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	119	52.1%62 W · 57 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Astralis	37c	300$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189	428	45.6%195 W · 233 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa53f…8c53backed FUT Esports	71c	281.69$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-4.4wins	-0.37per pick	45cpaid	-84.6%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked FUT Esports	68c	269.5$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.26	1,157	48.2%558 W · 599 L	+3.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed FUT Esports	56c	250$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	1,676	51.1%857 W · 819 L	+21.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked Astralis	59c	209.97$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.09	263	41.1%108 W · 155 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Astralis	29c	200$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142	498	49.6%247 W · 251 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed FUT Esports	63c	200$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	175	54.9%96 W · 79 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Astralis	30c	189$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.3	130	49.2%64 W · 66 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed FUT Esports	55c	170$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	2,434	44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L	-64.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Astralis	31c	161.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.29	213	62.4%133 W · 80 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17cb…edaabacked FUT Esports	70c	150$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-5.8wins	-0.16per pick	52cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed FUT Esports	69c	137$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.73	854	46.4%396 W · 458 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Astralis	64c	113.23$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.79	1,365	66.3%905 W · 460 L	+76.1wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2b4…2ce6backed Astralis	31c	112.9$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.9	297	57.6%171 W · 126 L	+12.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb549…c2b6backed FUT Esports	41c	110$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.1	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-3.0wins	-0.18per pick	47cpaid	-33%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed FUT Esports	37c	104.5$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.85	202	51%103 W · 99 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3375…ba50backed Astralis	46c	101.59$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	80	63.8%51 W · 29 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x697e…c4dfbacked FUT Esports	73c	100.24$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.66	268	62.3%167 W · 101 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf99e…bde6backed FUT Esports	63c	100$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	587	62.2%365 W · 222 L	+20.9wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed Astralis	31c	92.16$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.59	109	35.8%39 W · 70 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed FUT Esports	34c	87.54$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.16	762	48.4%369 W · 393 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb126…f338backed FUT Esports	70c	70$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	106	46.2%49 W · 57 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c4…622fbacked FUT Esports	31c	63.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc2b…d422backed FUT Esports	37c	60$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.2	191	52.9%101 W · 90 L	+9.9wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a41…c739backed FUT Esports	72c	55.56$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	69cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked FUT Esports	70c	54.79$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.35	153	49.7%76 W · 77 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked FUT Esports	68c	54.79$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.26	1,144	49.4%565 W · 579 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe30…24d7backed Astralis	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7434…426ebacked Astralis	65c	43.08$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.08	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	55cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52c5…5878backed Astralis	33c	43$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.81	143	46.2%66 W · 77 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07e4…186ebacked FUT Esports	72c	37$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.64	333	62.2%207 W · 126 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed FUT Esports	70c	35.71$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	603	58.5%353 W · 250 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae3…b811backed FUT Esports	70c	35.71$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.38per pick	72cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6919…da67backed Astralis	55c	32.7$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	387	54.8%212 W · 175 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3f…d4bfbacked FUT Esports	74c	19.3$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.28	73	37%27 W · 46 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed FUT Esports	68c	17$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.48	388	48.5%188 W · 200 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)this page
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group AAstralis won
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event