TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,019
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,074

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,019 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x47a8…52f9backed Over50c50,000$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00010142.6%43 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Under50c31,512$15,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,755.842440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9368…80a3backed Over50c24,740$12,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,4784744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Under62c14,245$8,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,372.914954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under49c14,197$6,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,240.6888242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad63…d66fbacked Under50c6,283$3,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,141.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under50c5,187$2,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,593.8983652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe705…f910backed Under50c5,053$2,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,526.843751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Over36c5,009$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,803.3536645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Under51c4,000$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,98053746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Over38c3,403$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.9820251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Over39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.98862.5%55 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c2…4933backed Over37c1,464$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.884261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+34.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under57c1,241$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.663,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Under58c1,069$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.33,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc9…a64cbacked Under50c1,041$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.52065%13 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc2c4…0734backed Over49c1,013$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018848.4%91 W · 97 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Under51c1,000$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49512045%54 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50012145.5%55 W · 66 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50081244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x449c…eaf5backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed Over52c964.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017460.3%105 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Under50c893.53$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.7752951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under50c741.14$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.571,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Under60c725.83$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.194,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Over45c666.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014362.9%90 W · 53 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30015740.8%64 W · 93 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under51c592.16$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.1614955%82 W · 67 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Under50c550$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27523851.7%123 W · 115 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25013049.2%64 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under60c466.38$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.491,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb126…f338backed Under61c459.58$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.3410646.2%49 W · 57 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over45c409.86$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.416738.9%65 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under49c392$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.342,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Under63c318.17$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.7227544%121 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed Under52c282.99$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.843046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked Under52c266.66$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.8126341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50f2…a5b1backed Over53c264.15$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over30c260.01$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.122,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30ef…5a9ebacked Over38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under51c249.99$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.51,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ff6…3a39backed Under63c237.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.993063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under51c230$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.79240.2%37 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed Over44c200$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874526.7%12 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65c5…2862backed Over49c183.67$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909046.7%42 W · 48 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under63c164.25$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7779951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over67c140.06$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.243,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Under55c140$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.41,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under50c130$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659447.9%45 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over43c120.48$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.731,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe61d…5f97backed Over35c114.27$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Over36c111.9$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.92,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5018352.5%96 W · 87 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under63c98.54$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4673948.4%358 W · 381 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa717…3bbebacked Over50c97.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5638452.1%200 W · 184 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0206…bf76backed Under55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.911855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Over40c76.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1676248.4%369 W · 393 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Over57c69.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4033354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed Over51c68$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over29c63.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6431440.1%126 W · 188 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Under65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5415349.7%76 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over39c60.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.781,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303663.9%23 W · 13 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Under54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.681246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked Over44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.419652%102 W · 94 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7434…426ebacked Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over50c58.85$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3649242.1%207 W · 285 L-17.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over57c58.71$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.71,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under50c58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2938848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Over33c48.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.099533.7%32 W · 63 L-9.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52c5…5878backed Over49c43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0714346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Over51c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4236334.2%124 W · 239 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Under60c41.83$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.731,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d21…cb6ebacked Over51c40.76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.79540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209445.7%43 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under61c38.31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8940635.7%145 W · 261 L-33.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under52c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.248858%51 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Over34c36.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4436846.7%172 W · 196 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Over44c29.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.91,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3711…7339backed Over52c28.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.921118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick49cpaid-69.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x68b5…5952backed Under62c24.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.054761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa870…9f19backed Over49c21.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7411350.4%57 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Over51c20.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2437841.8%158 W · 220 L-33.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde58…b901backed Under65c16.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.593470.6%24 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+27.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.