Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f7afd1f5edab505f52962d5c11c0b3ef9c990185929b37410f14471ddcfe1eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $289,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 32,844$13,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,663.27 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 11,430$6,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,396.58 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 8,561$3,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,806.11 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…0b50backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 5,844$3,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,142.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 5,701$3,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,973.98 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 5,533$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.91 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 4,514$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.37 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 3,881$2,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.61 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 3,844$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.25 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 3,840$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.13 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 3,687$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.69 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 3,493$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.12 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 3,429$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.88 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…9c0abacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 3,028$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.2 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 2,531$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.79 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 2,462$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.24 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 2,290$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.43 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 2,269$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.58 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 2,233$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.7 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…e2e6backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 2,131$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.06 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 2,085$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.24 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 2,019$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.79 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 2,000$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.98 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,946$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.13 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 1,944$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.49 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 1,942$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.35 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,929$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.08 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 1,927$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.61 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Xtreme Gaming | 26c | 1,785$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.4 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,639$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.85 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 1,603$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.66 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 1,559$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.97 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 1,549$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.36 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 1,545$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.89 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,518$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.04 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 1,468$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.34 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…d63cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 1,465$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.94 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 1,319$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.29 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 1,246$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,202$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.13 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 15c | 1,027$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.09 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 1,020$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.57 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…d858backed Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 994.43$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdacb…c4fabacked Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 958.72$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.52 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 958.49$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.89 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 942$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 902.49$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.12 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 894.74$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.41 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 859.99$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.2 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 793.56$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.23 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 750$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 731.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 726.41$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.92 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 717.76$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.01 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 715.67$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.52 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 697.8$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.3 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 683.65$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 663.62$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.97 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 654.42$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.23 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 638.94$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.11 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 638.14$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.98 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Xtreme Gaming | 15c | 632.67$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.77 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 568.77$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.41 | 129 | 66.7%86 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 564.85$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 550$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.45 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 547.79$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 547.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 499.99$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.99 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 473.44$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.1 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 460.58$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.43 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Natus Vincere | 11c | 454.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 445.4$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.52 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…bd09backed Xtreme Gaming | 23c | 440$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…d235backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 433.54$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.44 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…0ad0backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 411.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…2a0dbacked Natus Vincere | 15c | 411.04$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 395.15$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.55 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 394.54$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.43 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 390.77$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.77 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 384.22$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.06 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 371.95$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.01 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…92a5backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 367.97$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.59 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 352.71$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 352.38$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.18 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 347.56$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.35 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 346.25$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.16 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 345.14$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.76 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 342.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 340.46$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.61 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…800ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 336.01$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.78 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 330.95$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.21 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 329.52$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.35 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Xtreme Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.