Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe30e0f410149757fd65abac14e44dd755d8d8732e4da7ac897c170f4ba2aa737
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,073,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,122,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,073,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 383 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,324,585$613,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613,215.58 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 397,582$211,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185,688.61 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 343,864$190,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153,816.81 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 200,000$108,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,000 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 167,683$89,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,009.43 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5c…a375backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 161,265$65,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,273.37 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 129,890$71,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,450.5 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…f091backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 129,633$71,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,622.25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 55,000$29,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,850 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…ce60backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 43,986$23,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,673.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe705…f910backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,200 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 24,999$17,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,599.74 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 16,531$8,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,769.74 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…37a2backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 12,850$6,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,241.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 11,881$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.41 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…800ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 10,210$6,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,181.41 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 7,779$4,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,578.43 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 7,684$4,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,458.01 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 7,557$5,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.48 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…a795backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 7,146$3,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +148.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 15c | 6,911$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.8 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 6,870$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.02 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 17c | 6,753$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.88 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…1c08backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 6,500$3,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,910 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 6,158$3,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,894.4 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 5c | 6,149$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.98 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 5,546$2,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,662.08 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 5,370$2,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.75 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…76babacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 4,989$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c3…5947backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 4,976$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.85 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 4,144$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.56 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 4,067$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.41 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 3,737$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.56 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 3,693$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.63 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…e325backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 3,619$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 3,500$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 3,400$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.51 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -14.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -52%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…a8eebacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 3,340$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 3,236$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.77 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 2,692$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.89 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 2,507$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.4 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 2,503$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.88 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Natus Vincere | 7c | 2,437$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.53 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 2,436$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 2,411$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.29 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 2,354$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.7 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 2,262$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.11 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 2,190$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.2 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 2,181$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.05 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 2,167$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.68 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 2,138$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831f…9476backed Natus Vincere | 9c | 2,119$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.77 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b9…b630backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 322 | 41.6%134 W · 188 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…b8ffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 1,971$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 1,913$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.01 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf711…923cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 1,697$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…452ebacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,685$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 1,627$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.55 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 1,621$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.51 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,582$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.52 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,465$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.38 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,453$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.54 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 1,412$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.59 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 1,263$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.39 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 1,187$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.75 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 1,146$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.62 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 1,120$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.4 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7015…c498backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,110$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,098$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.2 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 1,087$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.5 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 1,061$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.58 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 1,050$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.97 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,017$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.28 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 1,014$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.52 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,002$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.82 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 1,000$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.48 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 995.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 376 | 32.2%121 W · 255 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 993.62$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.17 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 989.18$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.7 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…e77bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 984.98$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…6bbebacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 976.77$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 965.34$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.42 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 965.03$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.5 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…319ebacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 949.48$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.75 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…ea16backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 921.27$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 916.81$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.48 | 711 | 42.6%303 W · 408 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 898.95$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.29 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 876.43$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.16 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 816.18$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.06 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 799.98$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.99 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 758.62$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.27 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Natus Vincere | 7c | 750.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 563 | 48.1%271 W · 292 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102b…a7acbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 739.49$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 738.98$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.98 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 723.83$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.77 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Xtreme Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.