Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bf3d9559ad9815b06468426b1ca7ec3746143c360a299c7ce51b514a36a6057
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $393,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $460,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 128,606$72,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,700.25 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 43,143$23,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,803.59 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 41,136$17,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,078.58 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 22,165$10,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,195.94 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 16,495$7,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,224.5 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 11,888$6,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,179.03 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 11,100$5,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,106 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 10,026$5,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,311.09 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 9,700$6,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,165.61 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 9,588$4,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,122.9 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 9,574$3,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,762.28 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 7,500$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.99 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…9c0abacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 7,456$3,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,260.99 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 6,875$3,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032.2 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 6,849$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.42 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 6,833$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869.79 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 6,711$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,885.84 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 6,037$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,536.86 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 6,023$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.58 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 5,998$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.37 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.99 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 4,953$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,227.94 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 4,596$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.4 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 4,305$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.95 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 4,018$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.63 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 4,000$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.81 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 3,906$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.82 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 3,852$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 3,788$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.91 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 3,674$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.59 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 3,627$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.74 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 3,581$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.97 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 3,507$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.06 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 3,454$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 3,432$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.33 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 3,000$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 2,989$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.73 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 2,973$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.57 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 2,842$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.57 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 2,809$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.95 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 2,681$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.16 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 2,501$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.14 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 2,443$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.19 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 2,379$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.98 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 2,307$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.87 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 2,250$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.31 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 2,195$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.65 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 2,086$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.45 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 2,064$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.03 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Natus Vincere | 14c | 2,048$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.51 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,973$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.68 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,966$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.96 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,934$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.3 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,837$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.3 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,560$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.38 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,448$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.08 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 1,433$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.78 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,426$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.69 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,403$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.32 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,387$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.09 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,336$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.09 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…e325backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 1,333$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.08 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 1,285$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.67 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,250$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,250$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.49 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 1,142$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.33 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…bd09backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 1,115$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,099$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.51 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,085$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.19 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,074$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.5 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 1,074$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.04 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,040$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,025$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.19 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,003$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.17 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 995.2$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.26 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d3…cdacbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 982.6$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.69 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 965.2$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.38 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…e80cbacked Natus Vincere | 3c | 950$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Natus Vincere | 6c | 932.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 887.99$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.59 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 884.55$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.05 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 881.05$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.76 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 879.44$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.84 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 857.33$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.68 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 856.87$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.75 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 802.59$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.53 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 781.01$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.39 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 762.73$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.92 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 761.15$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.07 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 756.99$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.73 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 744.27$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.03 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 707.64$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.44 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 693.91$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.82 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 690.55$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.72 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 690.5$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.11 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 681.34$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.58 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 667.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 658.14$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.89 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 646.04$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.18 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 633.18$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.61 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Xtreme Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.