Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5aaf96af88c03cafe5c9479f059db4fcab11f29c8a272207bea4b6a3876241ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof Team Liquid, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked GamerLegion | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.97 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed Team Liquid | 38c | 726.91$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.23 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Team Liquid | 38c | 726.91$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.23 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Team Liquid | 38c | 420.54$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.81 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Team Liquid | 38c | 385.12$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.35 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed GamerLegion | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Team Liquid | 45c | 193.4$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.03 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed GamerLegion | 60c | 163.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdacb…c4fabacked GamerLegion | 31c | 144.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 142.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Team Liquid | 38c | 122.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…26f7backed Team Liquid | 38c | 116.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 96.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed GamerLegion | 62c | 84.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…7354backed Team Liquid | 38c | 72.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3f…233cbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 63.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…0359backed Team Liquid | 39c | 56.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed GamerLegion | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed GamerLegion | 49c | 49.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Team Liquid | 37c | 39.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 162 | 43.2%70 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Team Liquid | 38c | 30.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 395 | 59%233 W · 162 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Team Liquid | 38c | 30.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Team Liquid | 66c | 29.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed GamerLegion | 75c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab4…20e3backed Team Liquid | 38c | 26.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed GamerLegion | 63c | 19.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.