CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd02c31b824e7186c2d1d040cf80e4de549c15b7ab877a1adae669d83b994a3ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under | 56c | 10,675$6,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,019 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdacb…c4fabacked Over | 31c | 6,677$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,607.12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Over | 67c | 5,264$3,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.45 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 57c | 1,387$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.72 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked Over | 63c | 971.14$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.32 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac89…3783backed Over | 63c | 864.42$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.83 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Over | 63c | 564.93$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.54 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Over | 74c | 529.71$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.47 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 68c | 500$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.25 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 26c | 361.22$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.92 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Over | 64c | 342.47$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.8 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Over | 63c | 200.16$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.57 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 63c | 195.53$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.83 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 21c | 132.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Over | 50c | 119.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.49 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 64c | 99.8$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 34c | 89.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 44c | 83.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 34c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 27c | 77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Over | 40c | 67.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Over | 41c | 64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Over | 41c | 64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 63c | 60.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Under | 79c | 41.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1276…0845backed Over | 74c | 39.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a0…4469backed Over | 80c | 31.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Over | 63c | 20.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Under | 69c | 19.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 9z (BO5) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit PlayoffsLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 9z - Map 1 Winner9z won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 9z - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 9z - Map 3 WinnerLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 9z - Map 4 Winner9z won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.