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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 9z - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Legacyof Legacy, 9z
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,328
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,456

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,328 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa27c…ab67backed Legacy75c1,500$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.545859%270 W · 188 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x143d…2602backed Legacy62c1,256$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.0312557.6%72 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb62e…ae6bbacked 9z37c792.09$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.54447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked 9z31c596.27$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.863,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 9z28c574.2$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.895,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Legacy51c353.56$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.9875545.6%344 W · 411 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked 9z33c342.58$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.612,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed 9z27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed 9z45c298.97$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.5756738.8%220 W · 347 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe692…ea10backed 9z8c249.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017617%30 W · 146 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed 9z21c242.67$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.775,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 9z19c182.08$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.556,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Legacy60c177.21$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4531852.8%168 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked 9z45c161.32$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5253737.1%199 W · 338 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Legacy55c159.38$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.722,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Legacy62c127.03$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0957358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed 9z46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.21,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4209…7582backed 9z50c98.94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.473836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Legacy54c98.68$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3978963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Legacy56c96.12$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.581,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7e0…0d8abacked Legacy67c85.92$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.533557.3%192 W · 143 L-11.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Legacy67c84.28$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.014,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd067…9b9abacked 9z51c83.55$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4345663.6%290 W · 166 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d0…6450backed Legacy63c83.11$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.753450%17 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c5e…fa88backed 9z15c71.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.67714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-76.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Legacy59c59.92$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.384,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b9a…73fabacked 9z49c59.87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.339353.2%209 W · 184 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc8…f527backed 9z35c58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.349226%128 W · 364 L-45.2wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-30.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed 9z22c56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.062,47424.7%611 W · 1,863 L-316.9wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed 9z33c52.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2838552.2%201 W · 184 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2806…6de8backed 9z41c47.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5813750.4%69 W · 68 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Legacy60c45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8544763.5%284 W · 163 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed 9z33c32.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7138552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c7…4459backed Legacy76c25.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.229347.3%44 W · 49 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b0d…37a2backed 9z50c23.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.643250%16 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.