CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 9z - Map 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdefd62e7d4ec89ed151c64cbd5847edaaf5e95fae247de23a410f051a594eefa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 9zof Legacy, 9z
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeed5…7f92backed 9z | 44c | 3,167$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Legacy | 53c | 1,749$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.95 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Legacy | 22c | 1,262$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.8 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Legacy | 57c | 977.3$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.61 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 9z | 41c | 708.66$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.66 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 9z | 58c | 698.39$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.65 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed 9z | 64c | 531.94$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.36 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Legacy | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 298 | 39.3%117 W · 181 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 9z | 42c | 480.92$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.36 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Legacy | 59c | 451.08$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.78 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed 9z | 43c | 429.98$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.09 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe9…4a83backed 9z | 45c | 379.84$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.91 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 9z | 74c | 357.83$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.58 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Legacy | 55c | 331.3$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.76 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Legacy | 9c | 330.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Legacy | 55c | 300.18$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.1 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed 9z | 41c | 250$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Legacy | 60c | 244.24$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.39 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -32.6wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…ab95backed 9z | 40c | 228.77$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.26 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d0…6450backed Legacy | 60c | 223.28$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.97 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Legacy | 61c | 210.9$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.65 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb62e…ae6bbacked 9z | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b1…b066backed Legacy | 55c | 201.73$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.85 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Legacy | 48c | 197.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Legacy | 56c | 181.44$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d56…52b1backed Legacy | 55c | 147.54$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.55 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed 9z | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Legacy | 9c | 114.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 9z | 64c | 110.33$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed Legacy | 57c | 98.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Legacy | 49c | 96.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed Legacy | 56c | 69.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Legacy | 50c | 61.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a0…4469backed Legacy | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 9z | 41c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked 9z | 56c | 34.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc005…97dbbacked 9z | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Legacy | 49c | 26.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d9f7backed Legacy | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…fcf5backed 9z | 51c | 25.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed 9z | 70c | 16.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 9z - Map 4 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 9z (BO5) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit PlayoffsLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 9z - Map 1 Winner9z won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 9z - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 9z - Map 3 WinnerLegacy won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.