CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 9z - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ff5d63d83c90f1ca939b4669aaa0f759ee0d1b21d8fa80a6df3423c5718d93c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 9zof Legacy, 9z
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Legacy | 1c | 2,161$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 9z | 44c | 1,478$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.96 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Legacy | 60c | 1,131$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.38 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked 9z | 49c | 872.91$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.24 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Legacy | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Legacy | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 0.9%1 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Legacy | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…440fbacked Legacy | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Legacy | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 1.3%1 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Legacy | 48c | 519.34$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.23 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Legacy | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Legacy | 9c | 492$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Legacy | 34c | 391.97$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.7 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Legacy | 14c | 380.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Legacy | 76c | 251.55$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.23 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Legacy | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed 9z | 66c | 217.13$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 9z | 54c | 163.74$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.07 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9233…b93abacked 9z | 61c | 146.49$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked 9z | 79c | 139.47$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d0…6450backed 9z | 61c | 138.02$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Legacy | 36c | 127.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked 9z | 71c | 123$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed 9z | 30c | 96.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.38 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked 9z | 40c | 92.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.94 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Legacy | 25c | 89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked 9z | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Legacy | 42c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Legacy | 45c | 70.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Legacy | 57c | 70.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Legacy | 43c | 67.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 228 | 44.3%101 W · 127 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Legacy | 21c | 49.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked 9z | 69c | 47.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed Legacy | 41c | 39.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…e7c2backed Legacy | 38c | 38.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Legacy | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked 9z | 58c | 31.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e53…5c9dbacked 9z | 76c | 31.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…4b6dbacked Legacy | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed 9z | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked 9z | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed 9z | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 84 | 13.1%11 W · 73 L | -13.9wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed 9z | 61c | 19.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 9z (BO5) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit PlayoffsLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 9z - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 9z - Map 3 WinnerLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 9z - Map 4 Winner9z won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.