CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 9z - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e4944d6730de2f4d1be3040a367a7193e41ee4c02be412779ffb3c000299ee7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof Legacy, 9z
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 9z | 41c | 2,494$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.25 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Legacy | 49c | 1,429$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.86 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked 9z | 47c | 1,296$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.79 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked 9z | 34c | 1,065$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.78 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Legacy | 64c | 1,001$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.14 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed 9z | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Legacy | 63c | 929.89$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.21 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Legacy | 45c | 860.06$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.27 | 298 | 39.3%117 W · 181 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Legacy | 58c | 745.87$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.77 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Legacy | 50c | 499.65$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.17 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked 9z | 39c | 467.1$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.69 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb62e…ae6bbacked 9z | 40c | 362.35$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.59 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Legacy | 64c | 334.71$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.6 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 9z | 42c | 322.7$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.97 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Legacy | 58c | 279.03$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.19 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Legacy | 64c | 272.32$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.62 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Legacy | 78c | 257.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…ba51backed 9z | 41c | 239.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.39 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Legacy | 51c | 208.81$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.24 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked 9z | 55c | 178.6$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.23 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe9…4a83backed Legacy | 44c | 175.54$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.95 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…a386backed 9z | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed 9z | 30c | 161.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed 9z | 49c | 160.81$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.06 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Legacy | 64c | 131.66$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed 9z | 24c | 129$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed 9z | 41c | 117.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 9z | 49c | 116.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b1…b066backed 9z | 55c | 111.35$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Legacy | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked 9z | 61c | 97.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed 9z | 55c | 97.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff29…f008backed 9z | 36c | 96.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d0…6450backed Legacy | 64c | 93.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Legacy | 53c | 84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…7582backed 9z | 35c | 82.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed 9z | 35c | 82.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 9z | 56c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Legacy | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed Legacy | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Legacy | 39c | 42.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed Legacy | 64c | 40.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed 9z | 39c | 39.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a0…4469backed Legacy | 63c | 38.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Legacy | 62c | 32.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3534…a1b3backed 9z | 41c | 31.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e53…eaebbacked Legacy | 46c | 30.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Legacy | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Legacy | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2295…8f0fbacked Legacy | 53c | 24.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Legacy | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d9f7backed Legacy | 58c | 24.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 9z - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 9z (BO5) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit PlayoffsLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 9z - Map 1 Winner9z won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 9z - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 9z - Map 4 Winner9z won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.