CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5326a1a25ed7f1aa8c596e7572aea45d1b0ef96c88ca2b06389c3c1943bd7e18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Abyssalof Ding Cuts, Abyssal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ding Cuts | 14c | 789.97$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.08 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Ding Cuts | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ding Cuts | 11c | 627.35$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…a72bbacked Ding Cuts | 16c | 593.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Abyssal | 64c | 351.47$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.43 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ding Cuts | 25c | 323.57$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.22 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…d4b3backed Ding Cuts | 19c | 303.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ding Cuts | 5c | 290.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Abyssal | 64c | 241.55$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.53 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Ding Cuts | 11c | 226.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ding Cuts | 13c | 195.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Abyssal | 66c | 167.08$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdacb…c4fabacked Ding Cuts | 31c | 150.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked Ding Cuts | 41c | 124.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Ding Cuts | 20c | 115.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Ding Cuts | 38c | 100.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Abyssal | 62c | 97.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…4c57backed Abyssal | 80c | 65.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611c…a931backed Abyssal | 79c | 62.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…457bbacked Ding Cuts | 18c | 61.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…d46dbacked Ding Cuts | 20c | 56.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Abyssal | 77c | 51.46$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Ding Cuts | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked Ding Cuts | 45c | 40.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…41a5backed Ding Cuts | 39c | 30.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Ding Cuts | 47c | 29.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Abyssal | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48bd…72e9backed Ding Cuts | 50c | 21.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Abyssal | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.