Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89e9151028e238723e8c7de9126d44c4f15c362eba8828a5a3c1408c3ea9c71f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Liquid, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $968,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,104,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $968,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 447 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Liquid | 52c | 280,773$145,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145,032.57 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 52c | 75,567$39,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,341.83 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 53,269$25,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,229.27 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Team Falcons | 46c | 43,616$20,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,454.15 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Falcons | 54c | 40,831$22,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,797.72 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Team Liquid | 46c | 40,257$18,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,673.92 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Team Falcons | 46c | 35,074$16,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,940.05 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Falcons | 62c | 31,201$19,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,880.2 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…f704backed Team Liquid | 0c | 20,484$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Liquid | 49c | 20,056$9,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,792.72 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Falcons | 46c | 19,352$8,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,450.08 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid | 45c | 16,887$7,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,576.37 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Falcons | 64c | 12,400$7,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,495.56 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Team Liquid | 48c | 11,969$5,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,745.17 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Team Falcons | 52c | 11,664$6,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,598.77 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 10,514$7,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,948.85 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Falcons | 54c | 10,202$5,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,692.17 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 10,075$4,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,740.12 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 50c | 10,002$5,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,972.95 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 10,000$5,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,649.99 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Team Liquid | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.99 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Liquid | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.99 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 9,486$4,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,733.34 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Liquid | 46c | 9,133$4,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,210.69 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 8,734$5,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,548.24 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons | 55c | 8,697$4,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,923.07 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 8,554$4,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,411.96 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Falcons | 48c | 8,049$3,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,172.61 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Liquid | 31c | 7,571$2,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370.57 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Liquid | 50c | 7,500$3,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,714.93 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 53c | 7,154$3,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,328.14 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Team Falcons | 57c | 6,357$3,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740.68 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 5,665$2,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,751.52 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Liquid | 37c | 5,505$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.92 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Liquid | 39c | 5,500$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.99 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Team Liquid | 7c | 5,251$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.51 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Falcons | 56c | 5,018$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.71 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Team Liquid | 24c | 4,965$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.68 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 4,845$3,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.92 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Team Falcons | 53c | 4,691$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.92 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Falcons | 55c | 4,373$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.34 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Team Liquid | 25c | 4,275$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.25 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Team Liquid | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 3,970$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.76 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Falcons | 49c | 3,938$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.14 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 3,762$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.3 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff4c…5082backed Team Falcons | 63c | 3,731$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.88 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 29c | 3,469$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.96 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Liquid | 46c | 3,151$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.69 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 3,040$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.61 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 2,966$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.13 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Falcons | 54c | 2,889$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.17 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Team Liquid | 49c | 2,796$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.79 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Team Liquid | 48c | 2,764$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.69 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 2,762$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.03 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 2,750$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.5 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Falcons | 50c | 2,683$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.71 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Team Liquid | 32c | 2,679$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.25 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 2,610$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.99 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Team Liquid | 33c | 2,605$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.5 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Team Falcons | 52c | 2,581$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.5 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Liquid | 22c | 2,544$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.33 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Team Liquid | 53c | 2,493$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.19 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Team Falcons | 45c | 2,345$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.18 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 2,329$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.38 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Falcons | 54c | 2,161$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.01 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 2,108$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.84 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Team Liquid | 55c | 2,103$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.51 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 2,075$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.95 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Team Falcons | 46c | 2,050$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.17 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Team Falcons | 55c | 2,044$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.79 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Liquid | 46c | 2,034$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.86 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Falcons | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Liquid | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Team Liquid | 49c | 1,998$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.52 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 1,987$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…3d54backed Team Falcons | 52c | 1,942$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.09 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 1,915$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.67 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 1,860$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.4 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 1,825$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.32 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…c32ebacked Team Liquid | 47c | 1,772$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.9 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Liquid | 48c | 1,759$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.46 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Falcons | 50c | 1,719$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.03 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed Team Falcons | 52c | 1,707$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.39 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,623$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.83 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Team Falcons | 45c | 1,527$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.85 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Team Falcons | 72c | 1,520$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Falcons | 63c | 1,429$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.07 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dec…87f1backed Team Liquid | 30c | 1,423$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.83 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 1,375$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.77 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Falcons | 46c | 1,360$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.64 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Team Falcons | 52c | 1,321$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.95 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Team Liquid | 44c | 1,320$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.8 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Team Liquid | 4c | 1,300$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Falcons | 56c | 1,296$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.59 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Team Falcons | 46c | 1,237$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.9 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Team Liquid | 22c | 1,222$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 1,220$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.99 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Team Liquid | 51c | 1,217$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.48 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Team Liquid | 16c | 1,216$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.09 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.