Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76c2d403913640cf21a6786a6a62f274b5de924703ff929d828eeb902601da68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Liquid, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,652,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,723,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,652,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 765 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a5c…a375backed Team Liquid | 31c | 353,185$108,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,380.67 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Team Falcons | 73c | 216,732$158,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,517.75 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 52c | 86,927$45,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,422.97 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Liquid | 43c | 56,378$24,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,237.49 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 43,686$19,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,206.36 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 38,000$23,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,059.99 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Liquid | 41c | 32,796$13,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,604.46 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 32,353$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,500.2 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…a981backed Team Falcons | 50c | 29,116$14,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,473.6 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid | 56c | 27,374$15,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,406.25 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Liquid | 50c | 24,743$12,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,331.68 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Liquid | 47c | 23,070$10,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,843.1 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Team Falcons | 52c | 21,804$11,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,449.3 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Team Falcons | 51c | 21,014$10,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,222 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa8…b715backed Team Falcons | 71c | 18,723$13,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,409.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Liquid | 55c | 15,658$8,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,667.87 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Team Falcons | 52c | 14,964$7,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,194.51 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Team Liquid | 68c | 13,413$9,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,057.06 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Team Falcons | 49c | 13,186$6,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,724.78 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Team Falcons | 40c | 11,831$4,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,098.45 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 11,760$7,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,092.92 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9c…4cb4backed Team Falcons | 71c | 11,591$8,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,368.4 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…7260backed Team Falcons | 71c | 11,090$7,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,229.69 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 10,692$5,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,783.86 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Team Liquid | 46c | 10,675$4,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,910.27 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Team Falcons | 52c | 9,862$5,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,703.75 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe86f…91f1backed Team Liquid | 0c | 9,444$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 9,310$3,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,548.37 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Falcons | 44c | 8,531$3,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,766.77 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Team Falcons | 52c | 8,356$4,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,978.84 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked Team Liquid | 22c | 8,149$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.23 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 56c | 7,916$4,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,484.86 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid | 54c | 7,860$4,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,283.47 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Falcons | 74c | 7,743$5,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.95 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Falcons | 48c | 7,519$3,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,947.55 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Falcons | 68c | 6,694$4,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.93 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Liquid | 38c | 6,512$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.8 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 6,475$3,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.77 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 6,182$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904.57 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 6,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.99 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 5,717$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820.35 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6438…fc41backed Team Falcons | 74c | 5,633$4,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 57c | 5,144$2,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.07 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Liquid | 61c | 5,118$3,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.16 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Falcons | 74c | 5,107$3,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.31 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Liquid | 58c | 4,760$2,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760.75 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 4,689$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f1…fa00backed Team Liquid | 46c | 4,271$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.6 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 4,049$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.85 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Team Liquid | 52c | 3,994$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.86 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Team Falcons | 67c | 3,956$2,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.19 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…e217backed Team Falcons | 51c | 3,906$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.52 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 3,763$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.82 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Team Falcons | 69c | 3,627$2,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.52 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Team Falcons | 52c | 3,611$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.9 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Falcons | 59c | 3,500$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.49 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 3,411$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.23 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Team Liquid | 63c | 3,389$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.81 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Team Falcons | 49c | 3,385$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.19 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 3,365$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.12 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 3,160$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.12 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 3,096$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.9 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Team Falcons | 48c | 3,059$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.42 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid | 57c | 3,017$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.06 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Team Liquid | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Team Liquid | 18c | 2,986$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.72 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Team Liquid | 59c | 2,981$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.04 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 2,981$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.73 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff4c…5082backed Team Liquid | 59c | 2,968$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.67 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Team Liquid | 33c | 2,915$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.33 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Team Liquid | 35c | 2,770$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.71 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Team Falcons | 42c | 2,727$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.74 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Falcons | 48c | 2,677$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.47 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 2,676$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.66 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Liquid | 27c | 2,667$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.51 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…c32ebacked Team Falcons | 67c | 2,471$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.36 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Team Liquid | 51c | 2,466$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.9 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 2,417$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.95 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Liquid | 47c | 2,402$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.63 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Liquid | 53c | 2,384$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.34 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Liquid | 49c | 2,340$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c5…b9b6backed Team Falcons | 57c | 2,336$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.37 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Falcons | 42c | 2,298$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.9 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed Team Falcons | 50c | 2,278$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.07 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Team Liquid | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 0%0 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Team Liquid | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Team Liquid | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Team Liquid | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 2,240$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.48 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed Team Falcons | 39c | 2,216$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.65 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Team Liquid | 5c | 2,180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.04 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Falcons | 49c | 2,104$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.5 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 2,014$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.43 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Team Liquid | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…4a1cbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 2,000$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Falcons | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Team Liquid | 57c | 2,000$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.99 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 1,980$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.57 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.