Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x149ce45d45b3e671db43d56b61b13da73bf9e00cd6c1377aa26d7cf1433a1b80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $721,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $842,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $721,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 333 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Falcons | 43c | 153,636$66,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,027.04 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Team Liquid | 55c | 108,900$59,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,224.41 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 52c | 87,526$45,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,452.66 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Falcons | 42c | 42,494$17,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,796.51 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid | 57c | 34,097$19,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,661.71 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 30,330$17,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,724.68 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 24,973$16,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,490.91 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed Team Liquid | 48c | 23,409$11,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,172.88 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Team Liquid | 47c | 21,126$9,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,196.6 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 18,801$10,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,084.66 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid | 76c | 15,065$11,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,554.21 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Team Falcons | 16c | 11,785$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.48 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Falcons | 6c | 10,123$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.33 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 8,825$4,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,959.13 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Team Liquid | 46c | 8,770$4,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,692 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 8,546$4,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,674.61 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 8,341$3,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,727.74 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Team Falcons | 43c | 8,000$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid | 55c | 7,289$4,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,271.95 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Liquid | 56c | 7,044$3,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,076.76 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid | 47c | 6,998$3,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,708.92 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Liquid | 68c | 6,742$4,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.86 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Team Liquid | 53c | 6,705$3,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,166.44 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Falcons | 50c | 5,946$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993.56 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Falcons | 39c | 5,761$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.48 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 5,590$3,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.23 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Liquid | 49c | 5,244$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,674.25 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons | 34c | 5,008$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.59 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 5,003$3,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.98 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Team Liquid | 45c | 4,827$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,655.02 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Falcons | 43c | 4,505$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.35 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 4,445$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.99 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Liquid | 59c | 4,250$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.68 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 4,134$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.87 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Team Liquid | 77c | 3,791$2,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.77 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 27c | 3,710$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.86 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 3,635$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.58 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Falcons | 30c | 3,588$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.38 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Liquid | 56c | 3,541$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.7 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Liquid | 61c | 3,126$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.82 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Liquid | 77c | 3,104$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.62 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Falcons | 42c | 2,948$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.98 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 25c | 2,916$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.99 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Team Falcons | 44c | 2,821$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.16 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4c…5082backed Team Liquid | 65c | 2,817$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.07 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c5…b9b6backed Team Falcons | 34c | 2,712$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.82 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ca…ee0cbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 2,695$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 56c | 2,666$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.96 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Falcons | 27c | 2,495$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.9 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6438…fc41backed Team Liquid | 48c | 2,492$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.32 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Team Liquid | 50c | 2,434$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.17 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Team Falcons | 52c | 2,430$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.59 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Team Falcons | 43c | 2,327$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.57 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Team Falcons | 30c | 2,223$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.72 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 2,210$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.99 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Team Falcons | 44c | 2,197$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.89 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Team Falcons | 44c | 2,063$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.45 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f78…b642backed Team Falcons | 1c | 2,045$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Team Liquid | 57c | 2,017$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.14 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Falcons | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Falcons | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 1,986$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.68 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Falcons | 44c | 1,898$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.12 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 1,849$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.67 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 1,802$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.74 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Falcons | 47c | 1,773$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.41 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Falcons | 48c | 1,750$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.5 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 1,728$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.64 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Team Liquid | 57c | 1,629$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.84 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 28c | 1,597$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.67 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 1,529$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.36 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Team Liquid | 47c | 1,489$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.3 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed Team Falcons | 34c | 1,412$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.2 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Falcons | 38c | 1,404$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.05 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Team Liquid | 56c | 1,400$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.98 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a9…dc10backed Team Liquid | 61c | 1,373$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Liquid | 72c | 1,371$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…c32ebacked Team Falcons | 34c | 1,346$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.86 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 1,306$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.25 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 1,271$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.4 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Team Liquid | 48c | 1,259$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.42 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Team Falcons | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Team Liquid | 58c | 1,245$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Liquid | 78c | 1,230$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.32 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Team Liquid | 58c | 1,226$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.54 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…f91abacked Team Liquid | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.97 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Team Falcons | 35c | 1,177$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.45 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Falcons | 34c | 1,165$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 67c | 1,135$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.17 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc159…f3c8backed Team Falcons | 1c | 1,127$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…189bbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 1,098$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.1 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Team Falcons | 48c | 1,000$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.88 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Liquid | 55c | 999.97$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Liquid | 57c | 998.17$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.61 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea1…d143backed Team Falcons | 41c | 961.3$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 922.18$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.44 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 899.21$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.57 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe9…4a83backed Team Falcons | 44c | 884.37$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.44 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.