Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Ultra Prime (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x341fd523f3a3de1d4ce6c29b3fa7a440e4dfe8a54d5a71373358c69e92102d7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ultra Primeof EDward Gaming, Ultra Prime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed Ultra Prime | 54c | 30,000$16,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,799.98 | 151 | 53.6%81 W · 70 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed EDward Gaming | 46c | 14,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.67 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed EDward Gaming | 46c | 13,886$6,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,387.77 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Ultra Prime | 55c | 7,102$3,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,175.89 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked EDward Gaming | 46c | 6,500$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.83 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked EDward Gaming | 44c | 5,555$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.76 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…ec2fbacked Ultra Prime | 43c | 4,204$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.66 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdacb…c4fabacked EDward Gaming | 57c | 3,446$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.37 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Ultra Prime | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Ultra Prime | 55c | 1,486$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.01 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed EDward Gaming | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Ultra Prime | 53c | 1,100$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Ultra Prime | 57c | 1,013$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.62 | 313 | 37.7%118 W · 195 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed EDward Gaming | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 322 | 34.5%111 W · 211 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Ultra Prime | 56c | 999$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.56 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed EDward Gaming | 58c | 857.64$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.43 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed EDward Gaming | 44c | 745.53$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.03 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed EDward Gaming | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 428 | 47.9%205 W · 223 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Ultra Prime | 54c | 580$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.8 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd037…5ea2backed Ultra Prime | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -10.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Ultra Prime | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed EDward Gaming | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa467…587dbacked Ultra Prime | 41c | 439.32$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.32 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked EDward Gaming | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 281 | 50.5%142 W · 139 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…e024backed EDward Gaming | 47c | 425$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed EDward Gaming | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ultra Prime | 54c | 393.75$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.12 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Ultra Prime | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked EDward Gaming | 45c | 240$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 299 | 44.1%132 W · 167 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed EDward Gaming | 57c | 238.09$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.71 | 152 | 32.2%49 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Ultra Prime | 43c | 233.74$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.23 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Ultra Prime | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked EDward Gaming | 61c | 177.61$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.41 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…cd9dbacked EDward Gaming | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked EDward Gaming | 43c | 157.81$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Ultra Prime | 55c | 155$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked EDward Gaming | 44c | 140.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…74f7backed EDward Gaming | 48c | 135$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2784…e60abacked EDward Gaming | 45c | 127.01$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Ultra Prime | 56c | 117$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…c2b6backed EDward Gaming | 71c | 111.62$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.25 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Ultra Prime | 52c | 97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed EDward Gaming | 44c | 74.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked EDward Gaming | 69c | 72.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed EDward Gaming | 47c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed EDward Gaming | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Ultra Prime | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa434…e508backed Ultra Prime | 55c | 43.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked EDward Gaming | 59c | 41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Ultra Prime | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed EDward Gaming | 44c | 31.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Ultra Prime | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed EDward Gaming | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed EDward Gaming | 44c | 26.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…01b2backed Ultra Prime | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Ultra Prime | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Ultra Prime | 52c | 19.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6d…ad11backed EDward Gaming | 71c | 16.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Ultra Prime (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaEDward Gaming won
- LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 WinnerUltra Prime won
- Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.