Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf5b72ea4f737f3581bacfc7f56b37ed88afcae6444a9903ae33b7a1df02478d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Over | 48c | 10,344$4,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,963.64 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 48c | 5,000$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.37 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Under | 52c | 4,310$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.18 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Under | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Under | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.3 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Under | 52c | 1,077$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.92 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 52c | 951.92$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.92 | 591 | 48.2%285 W · 306 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 45c | 845.93$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.67 | 2,152 | 53.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L | +58.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Under | 52c | 842.12$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.22 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…fc19backed Under | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Under | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 52c | 548.02$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.49 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 48c | 500$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 1,792 | 51.1%916 W · 876 L | +50.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Under | 51c | 468.11$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.69 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Under | 55c | 414.55$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.55 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Under | 52c | 411.38$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.46 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 54c | 378.07$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.91 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 152 | 32.2%49 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Under | 52c | 215.38$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.38 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Under | 55c | 193.02$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 949 | 48.5%460 W · 489 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…edaabacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb675…779fbacked Under | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 139 | 61.2%85 W · 54 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Under | 52c | 22.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Over | 53c | 18.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?this page
- Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Ultra Prime (+1.5)Ultra Prime won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaEDward Gaming won
- LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 WinnerUltra Prime won
- Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.