Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d8a71bb2b0b1303a60707474e87aae4ede980ef11616f3d27aaf06ac7ebba81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Under | 58c | 10,000$5,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,776.66 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Over | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 55c | 4,488$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.48 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Over | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 42c | 1,980$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.18 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Over | 45c | 1,833$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.32 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 45c | 1,318$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.51 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 34c | 1,227$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.89 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 44c | 1,125$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.1 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 43c | 1,013$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.39 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Over | 42c | 799$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.42 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…f814backed Over | 42c | 796.16$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.77 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Over | 42c | 796.16$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.77 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 50c | 353.77$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.02 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 57c | 304.38$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.5 | 2,152 | 53.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L | +58.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 54c | 231.19$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Under | 59c | 155.83$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…f790backed Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2784…e60abacked Over | 42c | 123.95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 25c | 123.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 2,672 | 35.7%954 W · 1,718 L | -153.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33c5…e787backed Under | 66c | 107.03$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 58c | 93.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 191 | 61.8%118 W · 73 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 46c | 88.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 3,119 | 33.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L | -151.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Over | 55c | 70.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 71c | 70.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 1,168 | 66.1%772 W · 396 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked Over | 35c | 65.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 43c | 65.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 1,726 | 29.4%507 W · 1,219 L | -124.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 42c | 54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 645 | 56.6%365 W · 280 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Under | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +26.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1b…3d70backed Over | 36c | 41.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Under | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Under | 57c | 35.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 49c | 35.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x320b…6057backed Over | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 369 | 46.1%170 W · 199 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Ultra Prime (+1.5)Ultra Prime won
- LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaEDward Gaming won
- LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 WinnerUltra Prime won
- Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.