Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4304250e3f921415717bdc6ba749f063aa8e3014ee77e4530142420f5bb81553
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 57c | 313.16$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.66 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 42c | 298.58$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdacb…c4fabacked Over | 6c | 201.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Over | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 336 | 42.3%142 W · 194 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 48c | 87.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c9…52afbacked Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…88b9backed Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 278 | 48.2%134 W · 144 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 30c | 68.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 66c | 50.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…824abacked Under | 70c | 50.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Under | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 42c | 47.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…92e1backed Over | 43c | 46.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 43c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 46c | 30.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 487 | 47%229 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 366 | 60.1%220 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 64c | 25.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 63c | 22.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Under | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 2?Invictus Gaming won
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)Anyone's Legend won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.