Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x686cfc5205f7c93417a50e719509ac74c79421b0ce9a5538c4812240ead95d0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Global Esportsof Nongshim RedForce, Global Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Global Esports | 50c | 3,253$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.55 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Global Esports | 46c | 1,674$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.87 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 1,600$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.74 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…60d1backed Nongshim RedForce | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…2d87backed Nongshim RedForce | 50c | 1,322$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa159…ac8ebacked Nongshim RedForce | 15c | 1,031$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Global Esports | 71c | 959$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.15 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdacb…c4fabacked Global Esports | 71c | 775.88$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Nongshim RedForce | 49c | 549.98$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.49 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Global Esports | 52c | 512.2$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.16 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…c645backed Nongshim RedForce | 48c | 468.75$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Nongshim RedForce | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Global Esports | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Global Esports | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Nongshim RedForce | 45c | 155.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.19 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Global Esports | 55c | 139.35$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.71 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Global Esports | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Global Esports | 47c | 23.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group AlphaGlobal Esports won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports - Map 1 WinnerGlobal Esports won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports - Map 2 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.