Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb66f40f90e19ef17c4d06b6e1dbb8302387453363be44ed98ec7637f7d74ef2d

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Nongshim RedForceof Nongshim RedForce, Global Esports
Resolved: May 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $56,851
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $58,573

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,851 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xba38…e406backed Nongshim RedForce	60c	15,103$9,062 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,041.05	547	51.2%280 W · 267 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Global Esports	45c	12,475$5,575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,575.15	689	49.5%341 W · 348 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd888…3c9fbacked Nongshim RedForce	55c	6,335$3,497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,838.25	121	55.4%67 W · 54 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Global Esports	39c	3,018$1,187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,187.32	260	50%130 W · 130 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44d3…e454backed Global Esports	42c	2,719$1,151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,151.12	52	63.5%33 W · 19 L	+7.0wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Global Esports	38c	1,751$661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660.89	409	44.3%181 W · 228 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdacb…c4fabacked Nongshim RedForce	65c	1,139$742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.12	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Global Esports	46c	1,109$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.17	1,376	47.1%648 W · 728 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Nongshim RedForce	66c	1,043$683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$359.56	452	50%226 W · 226 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Global Esports	40c	1,018$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.33	390	42.6%166 W · 224 L	+19.3wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Nongshim RedForce	61c	1,000$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390	155	53.5%83 W · 72 L	+9.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nongshim RedForce	58c	874$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.12	888	44.4%394 W · 494 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Global Esports	40c	745.57$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.23	149	41.6%62 W · 87 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Nongshim RedForce	55c	705.9$389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.1	50	38%19 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Global Esports	36c	690$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	998	46%459 W · 539 L	-27.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Global Esports	39c	619.05$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.05	418	35.6%149 W · 269 L	-19.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67ee…3b01backed Nongshim RedForce	65c	566.75$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.47	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed Global Esports	63c	474.94$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	36	50%18 W · 18 L	-4.2wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ea1…d143backed Nongshim RedForce	77c	450.25$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.29	26	76.9%20 W · 6 L	+3.9wins	+0.15per pick	62cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Nongshim RedForce	62c	400$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152	146	45.2%66 W · 80 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Global Esports	44c	397.04$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.96	279	47.7%133 W · 146 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Nongshim RedForce	59c	327.84$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.05	256	60.9%156 W · 100 L	+22.5wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe454…8b7dbacked Nongshim RedForce	77c	313.03$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.03	80	58.8%47 W · 33 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	65cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Global Esports	34c	302.91$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.38	1,601	37.5%600 W · 1,001 L	-75.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Global Esports	54c	281.31$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.37	385	48.6%187 W · 198 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked Global Esports	36c	280.07$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf29…da00backed Global Esports	45c	275.56$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdef2…98e0backed Global Esports	37c	269.74$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Global Esports	33c	259.1$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.9	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Global Esports	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	169	50.9%86 W · 83 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Global Esports	15c	209.09$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.79	600	22.7%136 W · 464 L	-26.3wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa89b…87a6backed Global Esports	47c	197.66$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.02	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	68cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Nongshim RedForce	71c	196.48$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.48	180	56.1%101 W · 79 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed Global Esports	40c	195$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc056…e188backed Global Esports	57c	174.52$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	45	64.4%29 W · 16 L	+3.9wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb549…c2b6backed Nongshim RedForce	61c	163.05$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.59	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	63cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Nongshim RedForce	54c	157.07$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.19	556	37.6%209 W · 347 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb934…d9babacked Global Esports	45c	154.39$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Nongshim RedForce	53c	134.02$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.33	311	53.1%165 W · 146 L	+15.7wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x11b4…7e7bbacked Global Esports	38c	131.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Nongshim RedForce	60c	125$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	138	48.6%67 W · 71 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Global Esports	48c	124.13$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.19	279	56.6%158 W · 121 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Nongshim RedForce	64c	122.17$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.17	420	51.9%218 W · 202 L	-21.1wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed Global Esports	24c	122$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.81	264	36%95 W · 169 L	-15.8wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Nongshim RedForce	70c	120.51$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.51	234	63.7%149 W · 85 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Global Esports	61c	114.87$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.07	154	50%77 W · 77 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e5b…6fe1backed Nongshim RedForce	71c	111.94$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.94	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	70cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadec…1cb0backed Nongshim RedForce	61c	108.74$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.41	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d0a…07c7backed Global Esports	29c	105.17$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-35%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Nongshim RedForce	80c	104.71$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.36	66	72.7%48 W · 18 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	69cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Global Esports	38c	102.94$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.22	664	38.1%253 W · 411 L	-31.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Global Esports	39c	101.75$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.52	450	33.8%152 W · 298 L	-35.6wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x809c…ffcabacked Global Esports	42c	96.09$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7de…5f66backed Nongshim RedForce	67c	85.13$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.73	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.17per pick	45cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Global Esports	37c	84.09$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.75	305	44.3%135 W · 170 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Global Esports	38c	83.97$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.28	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Global Esports	46c	83$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.94	1,276	32.1%409 W · 867 L	-67.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdaee…5ec9backed Global Esports	37c	81.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Nongshim RedForce	39c	60.07$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.54	155	12.3%19 W · 136 L	-27.4wins	-0.18per pick	30cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed Global Esports	45c	58.33$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.18	225	42.7%96 W · 129 L	-9.8wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b1a…af56backed Nongshim RedForce	61c	55.74$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.74	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Global Esports	44c	55.63$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.36	1,490	46.6%695 W · 795 L	-16.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Nongshim RedForce	53c	50.83$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.95	697	22.8%159 W · 538 L	-94.4wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Global Esports	44c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.95	1,358	39%530 W · 828 L	-57.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked Global Esports	61c	49.18$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	182	61%111 W · 71 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	65cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf693…330abacked Nongshim RedForce	76c	46.05$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.05	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+70%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01bc…6c9fbacked Global Esports	39c	42.17$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.64	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Nongshim RedForce	43c	35$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.95	636	52.7%335 W · 301 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Nongshim RedForce	64c	30.61$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.93	84	54.8%46 W · 38 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Nongshim RedForce	67c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.9	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.6wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked Global Esports	39c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.55	278	50%139 W · 139 L	+21.8wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x63b8…0618backed Global Esports	42c	27.48$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.43	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Nongshim RedForce	62c	17.97$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.83	519	48.4%251 W · 268 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)Global Esports won
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group AlphaGlobal Esports won
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports - Map 1 WinnerGlobal Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event