Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe995c65d0c1f648c4d511074832b7b77c1d47f0ead2d80727ce3256381d00206
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Global Esportsof Nongshim RedForce, Global Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ea1…d143backed Global Esports | 69c | 1,222$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.57 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Nongshim RedForce | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 50c | 323.07$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.54 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Nongshim RedForce | 20c | 322.51$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Global Esports | 34c | 296.37$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.37 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Nongshim RedForce | 34c | 291.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 32.4%56 W · 117 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Nongshim RedForce | 33c | 284.85$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nongshim RedForce | 13c | 214.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Global Esports | 70c | 206.98$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Global Esports | 79c | 199.9$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 66 | 72.7%48 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79f7…ef5bbacked Global Esports | 72c | 189.67$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nongshim RedForce | 32c | 178.54$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 18c | 156.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nongshim RedForce | 38c | 150.51$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed Nongshim RedForce | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 147 | 37.4%55 W · 92 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d43…3f6cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nongshim RedForce | 11c | 109.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Nongshim RedForce | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Global Esports | 60c | 91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Nongshim RedForce | 29c | 81.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…58c4backed Nongshim RedForce | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Nongshim RedForce | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Global Esports | 72c | 69.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Nongshim RedForce | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Nongshim RedForce | 41c | 50.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Global Esports | 35c | 48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Global Esports | 63c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01bc…6c9fbacked Global Esports | 70c | 28.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Nongshim RedForce | 68c | 18.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)Global Esports won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group AlphaGlobal Esports won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports - Map 2 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.