Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs NOVO Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc54a0bc59681d5f36365480485da5c7532935eb6cf98a7d85abb692eeb0f9af9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NOVO Esportsof UCAM Esports Club, NOVO Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b37…1f70backed UCAM Esports Club | 61c | 5,107$3,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,115.52 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked NOVO Esports | 39c | 3,390$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.02 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed NOVO Esports | 60c | 1,625$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9de…886dbacked NOVO Esports | 39c | 1,197$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked UCAM Esports Club | 40c | 856.72$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.8 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed UCAM Esports Club | 46c | 610.31$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.64 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -6.6wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed UCAM Esports Club | 47c | 497.9$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.23 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked NOVO Esports | 50c | 474.73$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.59 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x05df…e268backed UCAM Esports Club | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed NOVO Esports | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked UCAM Esports Club | 40c | 257.48$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed NOVO Esports | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed NOVO Esports | 39c | 125.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked NOVO Esports | 39c | 121.04$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e26…e4bfbacked UCAM Esports Club | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed UCAM Esports Club | 40c | 103.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdacb…c4fabacked UCAM Esports Club | 21c | 99.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed UCAM Esports Club | 63c | 98.83$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed UCAM Esports Club | 46c | 96.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…0bcebacked UCAM Esports Club | 40c | 52.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed UCAM Esports Club | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x205a…682abacked NOVO Esports | 39c | 43.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +117%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…8d7dbacked NOVO Esports | 39c | 31.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…b939backed UCAM Esports Club | 40c | 28.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed NOVO Esports | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs NOVO Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs NOVO Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 PlayoffsUCAM Esports Club won
- Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs NOVO Esports - Map 1 WinnerUCAM Esports Club won
- Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs NOVO Esports - Map 2 WinnerNOVO Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.