Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xceef73aed705d0a708a494b2e898671b3cc7e03facf3339e6da04dc7669381a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GIANTXof Fnatic, GIANTX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked GIANTX | 57c | 342.74$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.97 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Fnatic | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed GIANTX | 54c | 194.48$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.46 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Fnatic | 45c | 159.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…2522backed GIANTX | 61c | 138.49$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Fnatic | 42c | 128.38$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed GIANTX | 55c | 106.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x900e…beb0backed Fnatic | 39c | 102.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked GIANTX | 62c | 101.83$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Fnatic | 38c | 99.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Fnatic | 42c | 90$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed GIANTX | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…b145backed Fnatic | 47c | 46.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdacb…c4fabacked GIANTX | 70c | 34.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed Fnatic | 40c | 33.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed Fnatic | 47c | 24.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked GIANTX | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4442…238cbacked GIANTX | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaFnatic won
- Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic - Map 1 WinnerGIANTX won
- Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic - Map 2 WinnerFnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.