Lol · resolved market
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x327d31b57f971ad1ab9a99ce5be344c2d6e675f7e4ca48d28dc8605f32c66f59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fnaticof Fnatic, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $385,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $441,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 372 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Fnatic | 38c | 19,884$7,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,410.44 | 897 | 46.9%421 W · 476 L | +43.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 13,332$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 165 | 11.5%19 W · 146 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Fnatic | 40c | 13,012$5,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,870.99 | 484 | 49.8%241 W · 243 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 9,774$5,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,473.71 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66d2…4186backed Fnatic | 10c | 9,690$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,764.85 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 9,241$5,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,174.76 | 324 | 40.4%131 W · 193 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56e…2d64backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 8,935$6,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,277.36 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Fnatic | 42c | 8,565$3,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,987.67 | 1,016 | 47%478 W · 538 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Fnatic | 44c | 7,860$3,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,401.43 | 824 | 52.7%434 W · 390 L | +41.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Fnatic | 43c | 7,541$3,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,298.61 | 559 | 55.8%312 W · 247 L | +50.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Fnatic | 36c | 7,500$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.98 | 1,502 | 50.3%756 W · 746 L | +71.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34f2…3bc2backed Fnatic | 40c | 7,333$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,425.85 | 531 | 47.5%252 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Fnatic | 43c | 7,080$3,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,045.01 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…04a8backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 6,964$4,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,403.07 | 399 | 64.4%257 W · 142 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 6,643$3,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,935.4 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Fnatic | 41c | 5,912$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,469.31 | 922 | 54%498 W · 424 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…5d1bbacked Fnatic | 67c | 5,853$3,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.75 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 41cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 5,288$3,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,815.19 | 481 | 57.6%277 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 5,019$3,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,027.81 | 2,012 | 58.1%1,168 W · 844 L | +84.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Fnatic | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.95 | 963 | 50.2%483 W · 480 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Fnatic | 42c | 4,802$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.95 | 1,596 | 53.7%857 W · 739 L | +56.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 4,789$2,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.35 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf13f…343fbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 4,027$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,054.98 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…13ffbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 4,026$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.88 | 281 | 66.5%187 W · 94 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Fnatic | 37c | 4,019$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.99 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 3,972$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.07 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Fnatic | 40c | 3,908$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338.44 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 3,848$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.37 | 1,320 | 38.6%510 W · 810 L | -66.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Fnatic | 43c | 3,755$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.84 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Fnatic | 21c | 3,682$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.57 | 1,540 | 62.6%964 W · 576 L | +158.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Fnatic | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.1 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdacb…c4fabacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 3,320$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 3,239$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.24 | 1,965 | 48.4%951 W · 1,014 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 3,000$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.99 | 1,232 | 49.4%609 W · 623 L | +13.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Fnatic | 41c | 2,903$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.75 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Fnatic | 26c | 2,506$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.41 | 502 | 42.2%212 W · 290 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 2,433$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.28 | 904 | 43.6%394 W · 510 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 2,432$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.9 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Fnatic | 41c | 2,405$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.66 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 2,394$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.45 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Fnatic | 37c | 2,217$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.57 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Fnatic | 19c | 2,145$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.96 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 2,120$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.55 | 1,469 | 61.4%902 W · 567 L | -20.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Fnatic | 45c | 2,110$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.28 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Fnatic | 20c | 2,109$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.79 | 1,813 | 39.1%709 W · 1,104 L | -30.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Fnatic | 44c | 2,084$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.04 | 1,005 | 54%543 W · 462 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Fnatic | 35c | 2,035$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.73 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Fnatic | 45c | 2,031$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.89 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 2,016$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.57 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 445 | 50.1%223 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Fnatic | 45c | 1,982$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.13 | 1,441 | 57.4%827 W · 614 L | +35.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,979$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.25 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Fnatic | 44c | 1,964$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.82 | 1,310 | 55.8%731 W · 579 L | +43.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,936$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.51 | 1,008 | 42.5%428 W · 580 L | -24.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c75…1b0dbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,908$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.1 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Fnatic | 16c | 1,843$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.68 | 1,492 | 48.4%722 W · 770 L | +47.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Fnatic | 17c | 1,747$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.64 | 1,675 | 59.3%993 W · 682 L | +96.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,685$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.01 | 885 | 44.3%392 W · 493 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…d02bbacked Fnatic | 23c | 1,600$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232 | 143 | 27.3%39 W · 104 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,600$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,597$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.1 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 176 | 10.2%18 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4956backed Fnatic | 34c | 1,500$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…440fbacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 0%0 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…6a6abacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 1,439$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.3 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6acf…fb01backed Fnatic | 41c | 1,345$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.4 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +4.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 1,234$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.58 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 409 | 16.1%66 W · 343 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…7711backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,110$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.9 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed Fnatic | 39c | 1,063$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.56 | 650 | 47.4%308 W · 342 L | +24.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…5095backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 1,048$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.39 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Natus Vincere | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 379 | 33.5%127 W · 252 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 999.99$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Fnatic | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.99 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb08…b630backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 999.18$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.5 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Fnatic | 79c | 993.36$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.74 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 982.85$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.36 | 608 | 47.9%291 W · 317 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 962.17$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.9 | 548 | 29.6%162 W · 386 L | -36.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 922.83$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.5 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed08…e082backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 922.48$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.9 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 909.06$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.07 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Fnatic | 34c | 903.62$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.79 | 545 | 55.2%301 W · 244 L | +24.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Fnatic | 78c | 895.91$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.95 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 888.03$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.72 | 997 | 56.6%564 W · 433 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7829…cfd3backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 866.82$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.07 | 287 | 34.1%98 W · 189 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…d63cbacked Fnatic | 32c | 863.02$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.85 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 856.86$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.62 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…34a0backed Fnatic | 46c | 842.86$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.84 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Fnatic | 39c | 837$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.98 | 1,025 | 39.6%406 W · 619 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Fnatic | 20c | 820.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.24 | 859 | 42.7%367 W · 492 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fnatic | 32c | 781.8$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.21 | 2,367 | 31.9%756 W · 1,611 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 777.75$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.89 | 295 | 27.1%80 W · 215 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Fnatic | 38c | 757.57$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.69 | 172 | 28.5%49 W · 123 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Fnatic | 36c | 750$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1,474 | 29%427 W · 1,047 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Fnatic | 20c | 749.03$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.21 | 1,453 | 43.4%630 W · 823 L | +106.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 732.37$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.98 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Fnatic | 20c | 725.09$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.7 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Fnatic | 40c | 723$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.8 | 1,327 | 53.3%707 W · 620 L | +37.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2248…bc0ebacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 721.18$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.4 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?Natus Vincere won
- Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)Fnatic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.