Lol · resolved market
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa7f11036e6f4e5b118c811d62f83f547df7c8303f2c95d6e46f1c2268ff7ba7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Fnatic, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $402,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $511,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $402,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Fnatic | 1c | 33,332$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.75 | 165 | 11.5%19 W · 146 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Fnatic | 41c | 30,293$12,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,355.93 | 641 | 55.7%357 W · 284 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Fnatic | 35c | 20,082$7,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,069.03 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 19,366$11,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,393.91 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Fnatic | 38c | 14,895$5,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,595.64 | 481 | 57.6%277 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 14,526$8,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900.94 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Fnatic | 17c | 10,551$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.02 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Fnatic | 38c | 9,770$3,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,712.55 | 324 | 40.4%131 W · 193 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…f031backed Fnatic | 0c | 9,412$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 8,000$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…04a8backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 7,669$4,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828.95 | 399 | 64.4%257 W · 142 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Fnatic | 36c | 7,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 6,954$4,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,522.91 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Fnatic | 37c | 6,712$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.07 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 4,500$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.99 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Fnatic | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.98 | 232 | 52.6%122 W · 110 L | +20.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 3,662$2,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.34 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Fnatic | 36c | 3,659$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.23 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 3,410$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.04 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Fnatic | 3c | 3,345$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.44 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Fnatic | 35c | 3,310$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.38 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 3,240$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.47 | 445 | 50.1%223 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Fnatic | 11c | 3,199$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.1 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…6163backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 3,106$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.15 | 453 | 66%299 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 3,065$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.3 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.98 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Fnatic | 38c | 2,877$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.63 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Fnatic | 35c | 2,688$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.63 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Fnatic | 25c | 2,476$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.78 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 2,455$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.29 | 533 | 55%293 W · 240 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Fnatic | 39c | 2,420$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.93 | 1,212 | 54.5%660 W · 552 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 2,404$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.05 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…7711backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 2,329$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.77 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 2,294$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.92 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Fnatic | 38c | 2,203$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.12 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fnatic | 20c | 2,198$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.32 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Fnatic | 41c | 1,941$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed Fnatic | 17c | 1,900$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.71 | 642 | 47.4%304 W · 338 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,730$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.42 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,663$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.54 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,576$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.93 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Fnatic | 24c | 1,564$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.73 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x566b…639bbacked Fnatic | 15c | 1,535$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Fnatic | 15c | 1,482$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.35 | 603 | 47.9%289 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,472$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.48 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,455$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.95 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Fnatic | 10c | 1,435$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.67 | 243 | 26.7%65 W · 178 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,368$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.87 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed Fnatic | 36c | 1,351$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.67 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,310$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.89 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,298$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.44 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Fnatic | 13c | 1,274$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.46 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Fnatic | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 409 | 16.1%66 W · 343 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 1,194$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.97 | 268 | 44%118 W · 150 L | -37.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,189$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.01 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Fnatic | 39c | 1,126$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.01 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 1,062$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.9 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Fnatic | 3c | 1,050$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 661 | 16.5%109 W · 552 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd459…4757backed Fnatic | 40c | 1,014$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.66 | 577 | 54.9%317 W · 260 L | +24.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c8…cf96backed Fnatic | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Fnatic | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb08…b630backed Fnatic | 7c | 1,000$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 207 | 64.3%133 W · 74 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 998.11$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.26 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 990.44$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.94 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b55…e87dbacked Fnatic | 1c | 988.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…202ebacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 988.47$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.62 | 958 | 47.6%456 W · 502 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…0d7cbacked Fnatic | 31c | 979.14$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.53 | 675 | 53.5%361 W · 314 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 948.83$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.56 | 331 | 43.8%145 W · 186 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb936…6718backed Fnatic | 15c | 859.84$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.85 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 829.34$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.03 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 811.96$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.54 | 258 | 53.5%138 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 804.12$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.48 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6acf…fb01backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 796.65$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.26 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +4.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x709c…ce30backed Fnatic | 24c | 786.45$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.75 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 781.76$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.07 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59d2…8d52backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 760.56$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x943f…e33dbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 760.56$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 756.65$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.53 | 545 | 29.7%162 W · 383 L | -34.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked Fnatic | 39c | 750$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Fnatic | 39c | 738.61$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.06 | 172 | 28.5%49 W · 123 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a81…23e2backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 715.58$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 708.23$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.82 | 505 | 69.9%353 W · 152 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…5095backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 707.4$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.01 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa2…e1cdbacked Fnatic | 31c | 699.8$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…7e75backed Fnatic | 41c | 687.76$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Fnatic | 29c | 685.1$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.68 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…e3ddbacked Fnatic | 11c | 678.76$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.91 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Fnatic | 39c | 674.38$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.01 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Fnatic | 11c | 641.9$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.19 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Fnatic | 42c | 637.88$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.91 | 308 | 56.5%174 W · 134 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 620.25$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.31 | 295 | 27.1%80 W · 215 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 605$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.19 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fab…afd6backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 592.44$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.82 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…0716backed Fnatic | 16c | 588.66$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 585.59$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.53 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?Natus Vincere won
- Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)Fnatic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerFnatic won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.