Fifa International · resolved market
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3d833727b8191e8611862f431d5fc0286f3fbd8ac70a9b618d8377526e9bdf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $432,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $504,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $432,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 417 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 22c | 29,582$6,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,374.61 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 6c | 16,274$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.82 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked No | 29c | 16,229$4,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,675.7 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 12c | 12,992$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.62 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 75c | 12,104$9,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,032.83 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 75c | 10,324$7,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.19 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed No | 10c | 8,053$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.1 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 73c | 7,873$5,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.4 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Yes | 70c | 7,500$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 14c | 6,936$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.72 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 9c | 6,844$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.97 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 10c | 5,109$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 13c | 4,789$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.54 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5841backed No | 6c | 4,592$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.38 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 31c | 4,303$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.1 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 20c | 4,179$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.89 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 12c | 4,176$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 25c | 4,086$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.84 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…c7c2backed No | 8c | 4,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 69c | 3,957$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.62 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 75c | 3,929$2,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.81 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked No | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 147 | 15.6%23 W · 124 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Yes | 68c | 2,940$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.66 | 258 | 57.4%148 W · 110 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 27c | 2,767$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.21 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 78c | 2,650$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.04 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3022…59c1backed Yes | 70c | 2,634$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.26 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90b…bd1cbacked No | 29c | 2,410$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked No | 12c | 2,400$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +6.7wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 30c | 2,365$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.48 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed Yes | 73c | 2,240$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.8 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed No | 27c | 2,235$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.32 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 14c | 2,142$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.48 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 72c | 2,000$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 283 | 37.1%105 W · 178 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 21c | 1,917$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.19 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 16c | 1,858$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.14 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 9c | 1,832$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 73c | 1,815$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.57 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked No | 8c | 1,800$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd449…450fbacked No | 19c | 1,619$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.08 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed No | 6c | 1,600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Yes | 69c | 1,600$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.97 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked No | 8c | 1,500$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.33 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 13c | 1,500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 269 | 40.9%110 W · 159 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 5c | 1,467$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 21c | 1,436$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.54 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb809…2004backed Yes | 69c | 1,400$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 12c | 1,163$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.56 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…eda5backed No | 7c | 1,067$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 14c | 1,062$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.27 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 14c | 1,036$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.84 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d3…efa8backed No | 7c | 1,032$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed No | 29c | 1,030$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…cc88backed Yes | 70c | 1,021$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.29 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…9af7backed Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…0ab8backed Yes | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…4c9fbacked Yes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 71c | 999.98$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…c0e2backed No | 31c | 999.98$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 69c | 999.96$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 69c | 999.96$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed No | 30c | 999.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 4c | 993$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 69c | 948$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.88 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 14c | 921.92$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.05 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…9bdcbacked No | 26c | 896$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.57 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 29c | 895.87$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.9 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 26c | 894.52$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.26 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…7be9backed No | 26c | 864.69$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.93 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed No | 29c | 804.02$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.63 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Yes | 68c | 799.98$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.99 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes | 71c | 760$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.23 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb63…f6a4backed Yes | 70c | 718.41$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.41 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x003b…8a28backed No | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…6604backed No | 6c | 710.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 14c | 705.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 17c | 705.1$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.79 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 13c | 700$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 177 | 36.7%65 W · 112 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0693…9679backed No | 13c | 663.78$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.79 | 226 | 33.6%76 W · 150 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 16c | 652.05$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.64 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 22c | 637.38$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.29 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c01…797dbacked No | 31c | 637.29$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.56 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 22cpaid | -88%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7a…0c40backed No | 6c | 601.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 80c | 600$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 21c | 596.2$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.46 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938d…19fcbacked No | 12c | 591$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.81 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ec…d536backed No | 8c | 575$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a9…516abacked Yes | 70c | 572$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 19c | 562.37$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.43 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da6…9ac4backed Yes | 72c | 559.15$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.55 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2db…ffcbbacked No | 8c | 538.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd558…8b1bbacked Yes | 74c | 530.79$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.15 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked No | 8c | 500.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 188 | 43.6%82 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb018…8891backed No | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Yes | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…5053backed Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 201 | 49.3%99 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Yes | 69c | 499.95$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 114 | 53.5%61 W · 53 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed No | 30c | 499.56$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.01 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Panama win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.