Fifa International · resolved market
Will Panama win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab04b157643c85023622ad9db79bbaa4d472e6e23456b19653a2c29b973641ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb97e…df66backed Yes | 1c | 10,249$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 1c | 8,569$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…c7c2backed Yes | 0c | 6,050$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x601f…76adbacked Yes | 1c | 4,963$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 4,065$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 202 | 1.5%3 W · 199 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 3,364$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1622…d2aebacked Yes | 1c | 2,900$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…eb12backed Yes | 1c | 2,897$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40de…65d6backed Yes | 3c | 2,731$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 2c | 2,722$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 3c | 2,513$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8825…9c18backed Yes | 3c | 2,414$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,399$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 2c | 2,293$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yes | 2c | 2,112$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 269 | 40.9%110 W · 159 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7c…3016backed Yes | 2c | 1,543$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 130 | 11.5%15 W · 115 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff32…7da9backed Yes | 1c | 1,377$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,259$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,049$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…f8f1backed Yes | 3c | 1,001$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…7796backed Yes | 2c | 902.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 48 | 4.2%2 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3c…18dcbacked Yes | 3c | 764.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…ae3cbacked Yes | 3c | 652.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…8bfabacked Yes | 3c | 640$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39e5…3bc7backed Yes | 3c | 551.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -90.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Yes | 3c | 550$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 142 | 38.7%55 W · 87 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Yes | 3c | 529.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 3c | 480.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 2c | 450$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb8…c74dbacked Yes | 3c | 424$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x826a…b27cbacked Yes | 5c | 407.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…c548backed Yes | 4c | 312.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Panama win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.