Fifa International · resolved market
Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79c8ff02f4fab8be39ef267ae8ed16a03210765e686f221fe3a6811ed0b979e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 5c | 6,701$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.97 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 6c | 5,443$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.09 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 5,242$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.84 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 4c | 4,362$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.41 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 5c | 3,645$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.01 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 4c | 3,179$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.17 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…6b6ebacked Yes | 7c | 3,071$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8a…5f5cbacked Yes | 6c | 3,055$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 6c | 2,700$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 1,957$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5094backed Yes | 6c | 1,908$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…df66backed Yes | 5c | 1,895$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 4c | 1,846$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.16 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e5…7127backed Yes | 6c | 1,700$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 5c | 1,499$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 4c | 1,422$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 5c | 1,373$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.77 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Yes | 8c | 1,284$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd74c…e70bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…af41backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 7c | 878$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 6c | 834.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 200 | 36%72 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed Yes | 6c | 732.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 76 | 21.1%16 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae4…a100backed Yes | 7c | 727.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…2266backed Yes | 5c | 679.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 653.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 202 | 1.5%3 W · 199 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b55…7b73backed Yes | 5c | 631.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 3c | 599.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 2c | 599.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…eb12backed Yes | 6c | 578.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…fde6backed Yes | 9c | 561.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 4c | 529.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…fc45backed Yes | 5c | 507.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…afa4backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Yes | 4c | 436.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7013…6c84backed Yes | 6c | 431.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Yes | 7c | 403.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…0738backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Yes | 3c | 390.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f7…1b4fbacked Yes | 6c | 390.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34bb…f3e4backed Yes | 7c | 378.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 5c | 364.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…f786backed Yes | 6c | 359.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 5c | 350.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55dc…19a3backed Yes | 5c | 349.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ce…5d26backed Yes | 6c | 339.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 91 | 8.8%8 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 5c | 317.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…d8cebacked Yes | 6c | 302.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 6c | 299.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 9c | 280.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…c548backed Yes | 5c | 279.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddd…9a7bbacked Yes | 5c | 278.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa8…d720backed Yes | 5c | 276.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -72%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…ae3cbacked Yes | 7c | 274.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 4c | 270.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Yes | 6c | 262.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e5…3bc7backed Yes | 6c | 262.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -90.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 4c | 259.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 37 | 0%0 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 5c | 255.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac7b…2e00backed Yes | 8c | 249.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…061bbacked Yes | 4c | 249.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…c7f1backed Yes | 4c | 244.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3d…2fd7backed Yes | 5c | 236.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…6549backed Yes | 6c | 235.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf56…4610backed Yes | 6c | 233.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -61%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac2…b483backed Yes | 7c | 229.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 5c | 225.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 5c | 203.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 5c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 126 | 6.3%8 W · 118 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…7796backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 48 | 4.2%2 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7e…c5abbacked Yes | 6c | 178.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 6c | 169$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 7c | 164.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…f8f1backed Yes | 9c | 164.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…6834backed Yes | 6c | 156.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Panama win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.