Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc85d79fbcab7ab6a283a2c17fb8595de79de2b2ac10afbd7a6602ddbe0626ad4

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $218,446
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $144,504

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,446 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes	3c	15,817$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.65	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x835c…a5eebacked Yes	23c	10,000$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,299.99	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	+6.3wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked No	77c	10,000$7,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,299.95	133	31.6%42 W · 91 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	5c	7,257$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.54	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2f5…c0dabacked Yes	12c	7,093$820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$819.96	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked No	79c	5,443$4,291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,151.8	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-24%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Yes	8c	5,276$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.79	108	33.3%36 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes	20c	5,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	193	45.1%87 W · 106 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	12c	4,920$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.97	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes	16c	4,852$778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777.81	402	39.8%160 W · 242 L	-13.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes	8c	4,667$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.85	104	20.2%21 W · 83 L	+6.1wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+88.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	4,324$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.85	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	7c	3,858$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.44	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd859…c7c2backed Yes	3c	3,852$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.04	25	12%3 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes	7c	3,363$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.99	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7df…5094backed Yes	1c	3,349$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b4d…6b6ebacked Yes	8c	3,101$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed Yes	21c	3,000$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630	129	45%58 W · 71 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes	8c	2,944$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes	8c	2,900$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.5	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9628…741cbacked Yes	3c	2,842$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.57	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes	13c	2,755$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.6	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	22c	2,727$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.93	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	5c	2,499$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.26	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb97e…df66backed Yes	4c	2,451$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes	7c	2,092$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.46	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes	19c	2,007$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376	365	39.7%145 W · 220 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	4c	1,965$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.71	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	6c	1,927$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.5	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6e5…7127backed Yes	11c	1,870$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	101	35.6%36 W · 65 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4db…7ea1backed Yes	32c	1,669$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$534.98	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	2c	1,644$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.65	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes	3c	1,583$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.91	54	13%7 W · 47 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d78…4cc1backed Yes	6c	1,400$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	35cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes	21c	1,303$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.42	120	25%30 W · 90 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes	3c	1,102$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.06	163	33.7%55 W · 108 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked No	75c	1,097$821 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.26	312	32.4%101 W · 211 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9506…c548backed Yes	4c	1,088$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.57	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes	6c	1,082$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.43	847	38.8%329 W · 518 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5f6…adc3backed Yes	22c	1,079$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.39	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	27cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	19c	1,062$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.86	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	2c	1,020$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.66	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes	21c	994.1$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.76	502	14.5%73 W · 429 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	78c	956.34$747 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.78	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25d3…efa8backed Yes	8c	946.42$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.24	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	79c	894.52$707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.57	376	44.9%169 W · 207 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No	78c	894.47$694 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.57	648	50.6%328 W · 320 L	-13.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	23c	839.98$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.71	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	76c	755.74$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.1	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…eb12backed Yes	4c	753.53$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.06	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a9a…72e7backed Yes	6c	746.92$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.29	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	80c	728$581 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.69	285	54.4%155 W · 130 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…30abbacked No	76c	680.61$517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.93	80	38.8%31 W · 49 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No	78c	679$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.38	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8251…879dbacked Yes	23c	652.17$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	97	23.7%23 W · 74 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7837…8f97backed Yes	17c	650.78$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.68	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	-4.3wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-72.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcff6…dd0bbacked Yes	3c	633.67$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.01	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Yes	4c	620.66$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	788	35.3%278 W · 510 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89eb…374bbacked Yes	33c	606.14$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked No	77c	578.64$443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.64	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	77c	570.43$439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.2	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes	23c	563.94$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.5	608	21.9%133 W · 475 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38b0…dd47backed Yes	23c	500$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	61	29.5%18 W · 43 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x345a…b413backed Yes	24c	500$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.86	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7712…0c28backed Yes	22c	499.99$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-62.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb018…8891backed Yes	20c	475$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff95…4ecfbacked Yes	22c	463.64$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	42cpaid	+45.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked No	79c	463.3$366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.29	71	26.8%19 W · 52 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf579…9989backed Yes	23c	450$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.5	160	48.8%78 W · 82 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe700…ff9fbacked Yes	8c	435.53$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.1	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.24per pick	26cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6993…3f71backed Yes	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	224	19.6%44 W · 180 L	-8.4wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40de…65d6backed Yes	23c	430.43$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No	76c	425$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	264	54.5%144 W · 120 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Yes	21c	422.19$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.66	103	51.5%53 W · 50 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b79…fe82backed Yes	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	19cpaid	+54%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe981…1859backed Yes	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	109	18.3%20 W · 89 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f0…9cbcbacked Yes	23c	391.74$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8825…9c18backed Yes	23c	391.3$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…525fbacked No	78c	387.09$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.16	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…b180backed Yes	8c	385$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.07	69	29%20 W · 49 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35a0…4a2cbacked Yes	8c	365.85$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	+5.3wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	11c	363.77$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.28	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes	7c	359.04$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.7	287	31%89 W · 198 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1258…f5c1backed Yes	8c	358.61$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.74	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	16c	358$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.9	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1087…7ae9backed Yes	23c	347.83$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-33%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2936…7be9backed Yes	16c	347.33$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.57	95	16.8%16 W · 79 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed No	74c	337.83$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.84	226	33.6%76 W · 150 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdec5…eb5bbacked Yes	8c	327.11$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.9	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes	18c	314.42$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.49	202	50%101 W · 101 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	79c	312.75$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.51	184	52.7%97 W · 87 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes	23c	299.99$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	226	50.9%115 W · 111 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02f7…dd8fbacked Yes	21c	283.1$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.45	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	77c	282.48$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.83	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed No	78c	279.59$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.51	134	37.3%50 W · 84 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf616…a299backed Yes	19c	260.22$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f8…5645backed Yes	22c	251.47$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed No	77c	247$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.81	285	47.7%136 W · 149 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc435…2494backed Yes	26c	234.62$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+5.1wins	+0.14per pick	39cpaid	+33%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e50…948abacked Yes	21c	234.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.99	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Panama win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event