TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,153
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,849

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,153 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef26…05babacked Over35c8,000$2,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7901,26737.7%478 W · 789 L+35.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under65c7,938$5,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,777.951,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Over35c6,434$2,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,245.091,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Under67c5,500$3,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,81526246.6%122 W · 140 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6f6…68eabacked Over41c4,187$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,710.32528%7 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Over37c4,050$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.4926942.4%114 W · 155 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e15…cfdbbacked Under65c3,429$2,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.131040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ee…1391backed Over43c3,272$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.569149.5%45 W · 46 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Over9c2,750$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.0618520.5%38 W · 147 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Under63c2,700$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9991,07147.1%504 W · 567 L+2.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Under65c2,650$1,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.4223657.2%135 W · 101 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Over39c2,373$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.381443.5%354 W · 460 L+30.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed Under66c2,350$1,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.7748157.6%277 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95cd…cf01backed Under61c1,540$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.193145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+49%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49585746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…c691backed Over75c1,469$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.1919839.9%79 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Under68c1,353$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.441,46961.4%902 W · 567 L-20.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over42c1,344$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.2785046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked Over35c1,278$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.6110445.2%47 W · 57 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2997…6c34backed Under68c1,253$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.9210653.8%57 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Under60c1,196$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.3511454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafda…0fccbacked Under75c1,168$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.7616654.8%91 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x002f…6a4ebacked Under61c1,142$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.462744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8d…556bbacked Under66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3401566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked Under62c999.99$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.9996347.7%459 W · 504 L+2.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Over35c951.4$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.9921740.1%87 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba0c…f837backed Under56c934.37$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.321857.8%126 W · 92 L+18.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Under15c900$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7657889.8%77 W · 711 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Under63c899.96$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.981,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under45c798$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.091,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661e…81d6backed Over13c792.19$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9729856.4%168 W · 130 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5784…6788backed Under71c789.29$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.296259.7%37 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Under63c731.54$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.5448553.4%259 W · 226 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Under55c698.7$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.4223751.5%122 W · 115 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed Under65c621.1$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.4410243.1%44 W · 58 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x042b…bbf1backed Under45c615.73$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.6512055%66 W · 54 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed Over54c613.59$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.3443151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed Over37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019122.5%43 W · 148 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Under44c494.79$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.0433251.5%171 W · 161 L+33.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Under64c493.81$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.2748548.7%236 W · 249 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37bd…2a26backed Under63c447.35$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6964553.3%344 W · 301 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…07c0backed Under69c424.6$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.599016.7%15 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3290…d1ffbacked Under63c380$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.611251.8%58 W · 54 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Over38c335.52$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5250643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under39c311.16$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.3344843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed Over13c310.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4080750.8%410 W · 397 L+48.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over53c307.37$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.971,73029.5%510 W · 1,220 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Under65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10586758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x195e…5b32backed Over35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked Under43c260$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.263551.8%329 W · 306 L+39.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Under64c259.38$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3870752.9%374 W · 333 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22c6…4574backed Under77c247.79$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0421756.7%123 W · 94 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5498…126fbacked Over57c245.01$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.012955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf406…c9bfbacked Over54c231.85$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb855…3332backed Over36c230.42$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.843831.6%12 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Under69c230$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.528855.9%161 W · 127 L-20.1wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over29c227.04$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7621350.2%107 W · 106 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc57a…fe9fbacked Over36c218.89$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.814044.3%62 W · 78 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Over39c212.22$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.711,00554%543 W · 462 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Over36c211.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1954944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef7d…bbecbacked Over38c211.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Over22c190$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.91,29926.6%345 W · 954 L+65.4wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Under62c179.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.439750.1%199 W · 198 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79a6…3aa9backed Over33c175.58$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9450%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Under68c162.25$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.921,60342.4%679 W · 924 L-18.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Over35c162.08$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9570443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Under64c155.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4343539.5%172 W · 263 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked Over52c150$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.572234.1%246 W · 476 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Over14c139.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4189810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Over35c123.71$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.31,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked Under56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.41,01349.1%497 W · 516 L+29.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd395…4fd6backed Under63c115.97$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.33633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32f0…564cbacked Over32c112.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3636331.1%113 W · 250 L+0.7wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over35c110$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.515153.6%81 W · 70 L+17.3wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Over38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4029335.2%103 W · 190 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf978…cf69backed Over10c104.46$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.457736.4%28 W · 49 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198b…f2ecbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5010561%64 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9041…09b7backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3353954.7%295 W · 244 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Over65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6574462.2%463 W · 281 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34f2…3bc2backed Under64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3653147.5%252 W · 279 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x430f…5c08backed Over19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.77640.8%31 W · 45 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed Over65c98.09$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6436260.5%219 W · 143 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Under26c94.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5839239%153 W · 239 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0781…6bc8backed Under65c78.33$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.42944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over53c77$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.671,93135.9%693 W · 1,238 L-98.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bc1…cccdbacked Under41c70.75$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.758850%44 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed Under28c69.46$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0154343.6%237 W · 306 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe384…7fafbacked Under57c67.41$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.992030%6 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-24.3%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Under50c59.51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7617249.4%85 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Over49c56.42$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.821,18751.9%616 W · 571 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52aa…8e3abacked Under64c55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.85446.3%25 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97a6…159ebacked Over37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.59424.5%23 W · 71 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Under72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1447951.4%246 W · 233 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa90a…523fbacked Under60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ddd…5366backed Over39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.612060%72 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa179…8645backed Over55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.517038.2%65 W · 105 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd011…ac5dbacked Under65c46.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3925648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x962a…e2cdbacked Under68c45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.42060%12 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.