TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BNK FEARXof DN Freecs, BNK FEARX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$305,951
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$353,401

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,951 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xacf6…41fcbacked DN Freecs0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050242.2%212 W · 290 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca22…6ff1backed DN Freecs0c25,150$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e15…cfdbbacked BNK FEARX74c18,178$13,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,710.391040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed BNK FEARX66c15,059$9,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,081.811,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed DN Freecs0c12,187$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4294134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2997…6c34backed BNK FEARX76c10,292$7,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,497.7910653.8%57 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed DN Freecs25c8,684$2,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,170.9423447.9%112 W · 122 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed DN Freecs1c7,332$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.23775.6%21 W · 356 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c9c…badcbacked DN Freecs0c6,032$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick31cpaid-66.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed DN Freecs34c4,877$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.0626246.6%122 W · 140 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc287…50fdbacked DN Freecs21c4,760$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.622147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked DN Freecs36c4,448$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.581,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed DN Freecs33c4,121$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.451,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed DN Freecs9c3,561$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32544042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…8a41backed BNK FEARX76c3,533$2,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.0316040%64 W · 96 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed BNK FEARX65c2,727$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.5521448.1%103 W · 111 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked BNK FEARX66c2,699$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.7785046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed BNK FEARX80c2,521$2,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.4748157.6%277 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed BNK FEARX77c2,476$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.6331644.3%140 W · 176 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde6e…0169backed DN Freecs34c2,280$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.0340435.1%142 W · 262 L-1.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed DN Freecs34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6803,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c0e…fdfebacked DN Freecs33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.991735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8d…556bbacked DN Freecs35c1,920$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.051566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed DN Freecs1c1,915$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.837869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed DN Freecs30c1,761$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.691,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed DN Freecs35c1,743$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.931,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6f6…68eabacked DN Freecs45c1,651$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.642528%7 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked BNK FEARX68c1,565$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.4959558.3%347 W · 248 L-29.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed DN Freecs37c1,549$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.4185746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed BNK FEARX74c1,468$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.5149366.7%329 W · 164 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa43d…df8ebacked BNK FEARX78c1,428$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.72955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick70cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed DN Freecs29c1,420$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.842840.2%172 W · 256 L-32.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked BNK FEARX65c1,273$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.4927447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfadd…3955backed DN Freecs29c1,218$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.754156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed DN Freecs8c1,203$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2119122.5%43 W · 148 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe8c…9e9ebacked DN Freecs25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017839.3%70 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked DN Freecs2c1,111$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.221,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed BNK FEARX63c1,097$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.741,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked BNK FEARX64c1,025$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.0255955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed DN Freecs36c1,004$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.5743151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed DN Freecs2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202193.2%7 W · 212 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked DN Freecs31c989.82$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.182,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed DN Freecs35c888$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.825236.9%93 W · 159 L+1.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed DN Freecs34c882.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.5926942.4%114 W · 155 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf234…3fc0backed BNK FEARX68c879.36$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.53966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed DN Freecs33c869$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.771,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9772…4867backed BNK FEARX75c832.35$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.692060%12 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08b3…48a9backed BNK FEARX70c777.09$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.131,02148%490 W · 531 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba0c…f837backed BNK FEARX65c761.29$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.4521857.8%126 W · 92 L+18.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked DN Freecs31c750$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.56738.8%26 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed BNK FEARX60c750$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30050547.7%241 W · 264 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked BNK FEARX67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2718755.1%103 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6db2…1338backed DN Freecs33c700$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2313855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a0…05c4backed DN Freecs3c700$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2135035.1%123 W · 227 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa132…eebdbacked BNK FEARX67c699.99$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2312751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3adf…f598backed BNK FEARX64c699.98$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf9e…5133backed DN Freecs33c699.98$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked BNK FEARX66c629.97$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.1996057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6136…64f8backed BNK FEARX66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.0624436.9%90 W · 154 L-18.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked BNK FEARX67c597.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.011,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5784…6788backed BNK FEARX75c589.8$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.86259.7%37 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf70f…3c97backed BNK FEARX75c529.22$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.5216456.7%93 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed DN Freecs33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16520438.2%78 W · 126 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked DN Freecs28c499.98$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e78…29d0backed DN Freecs34c468.07$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.9224248.3%117 W · 125 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked DN Freecs16c429.76$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7233251.5%171 W · 161 L+33.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed DN Freecs18c429.3$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1644843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked DN Freecs27c412.09$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3995847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed BNK FEARX78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.896149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed DN Freecs29c399.98$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.991,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed DN Freecs36c399.19$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.711,13030%339 W · 791 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed BNK FEARX67c396.4$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.811,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b0…5e03backed BNK FEARX65c378.29$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.42378.3%18 W · 5 L+5.1wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+45.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed DN Freecs34c337.85$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.951,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked DN Freecs31c327.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,18548.1%570 W · 615 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed DN Freecs31c316.52$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.991,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd690…93a6backed BNK FEARX69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9310160.4%61 W · 40 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x871e…6566backed BNK FEARX72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.17763.6%49 W · 28 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked DN Freecs26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7872234.1%246 W · 476 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed DN Freecs32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9671249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc57a…fe9fbacked DN Freecs34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014044.3%62 W · 78 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a94…5e99backed BNK FEARX70c286.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.644443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-30.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed DN Freecs36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked BNK FEARX65c273.83$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.11,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf406…c9bfbacked BNK FEARX75c268.82$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.22462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked BNK FEARX67c265.67$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.6770752.9%374 W · 333 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22c6…4574backed BNK FEARX66c262.51$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2521756.7%123 W · 94 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b87…75d0backed DN Freecs29c250$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.58951.7%46 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked DN Freecs30c246.4$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8512450%62 W · 62 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked DN Freecs34c226.47$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7730255.6%168 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f9b…bc2fbacked BNK FEARX67c213.45$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7252062.3%324 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3290…d1ffbacked DN Freecs29c201$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2511251.8%58 W · 54 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fa…b505backed DN Freecs30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607352.1%38 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32f0…564cbacked DN Freecs29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036331.1%113 W · 250 L+0.7wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x345b…8cbdbacked DN Freecs36c169.44$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613129%9 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed DN Freecs35c160$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5646033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x81a4…da1fbacked DN Freecs36c158.06$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.456839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbee7…dc3abacked BNK FEARX66c151.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.513050%15 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc923…783abacked DN Freecs34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503920.5%8 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked DN Freecs34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5095551.7%494 W · 461 L-12.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.