Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN Freecs (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a5a24598dd949d1b093e123e008788d2f77a6da3d87b5f812b5fb20da2a3dca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BNK FEARXof BNK FEARX, DN Freecs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8165…f688backed DN Freecs | 47c | 25,000$11,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,643.96 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed BNK FEARX | 54c | 20,223$10,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,366.03 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked BNK FEARX | 55c | 6,890$3,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.18 | 445 | 50.1%223 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed DN Freecs | 44c | 5,095$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.8 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed BNK FEARX | 55c | 4,513$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.57 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed BNK FEARX | 52c | 3,539$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.39 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed BNK FEARX | 53c | 2,485$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.95 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed DN Freecs | 47c | 2,485$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.95 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed DN Freecs | 46c | 2,152$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed BNK FEARX | 63c | 1,726$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.74 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed BNK FEARX | 52c | 1,601$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.6 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed DN Freecs | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…5e03backed BNK FEARX | 53c | 1,045$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.35 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked BNK FEARX | 55c | 977.47$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.86 | 518 | 52.7%273 W · 245 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed BNK FEARX | 52c | 839.42$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.92 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed BNK FEARX | 58c | 775$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.5 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed DN Freecs | 44c | 700$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.47 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked BNK FEARX | 56c | 545$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.8 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked BNK FEARX | 57c | 527.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.11 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed DN Freecs | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed BNK FEARX | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked BNK FEARX | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 821 | 61%501 W · 320 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 342.83$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.94 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…02e0backed BNK FEARX | 57c | 308.75$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.76 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked DN Freecs | 37c | 271.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 261 | 55.9%146 W · 115 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed DN Freecs | 48c | 264.07$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.75 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked BNK FEARX | 69c | 260.59$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.78 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed DN Freecs | 44c | 226.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed BNK FEARX | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…4c2cbacked BNK FEARX | 58c | 180.28$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.72 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed BNK FEARX | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…f87ebacked BNK FEARX | 69c | 142.43$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…c638backed BNK FEARX | 75c | 133.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed DN Freecs | 33c | 107$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed BNK FEARX | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed DN Freecs | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc9…e7f6backed DN Freecs | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf188…6eadbacked BNK FEARX | 29c | 90$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaed3…205bbacked DN Freecs | 46c | 83.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11b8…1f17backed BNK FEARX | 58c | 78.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked BNK FEARX | 69c | 69.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 351 | 64.1%225 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed DN Freecs | 36c | 65.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed DN Freecs | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked BNK FEARX | 52c | 59.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed BNK FEARX | 55c | 55.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed DN Freecs | 49c | 52.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11bb…ee8bbacked BNK FEARX | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked BNK FEARX | 58c | 49.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…ac5dbacked BNK FEARX | 65c | 46.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a79…6acebacked DN Freecs | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…0a62backed BNK FEARX | 41c | 41.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed BNK FEARX | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 420 | 55.2%232 W · 188 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked BNK FEARX | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked BNK FEARX | 55c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a07…be22backed BNK FEARX | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…0badbacked BNK FEARX | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…245ebacked BNK FEARX | 68c | 21.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 952 | 53.8%512 W · 440 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN Freecs (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs DN Freecs (+2.5)DN Freecs won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group StageBNK FEARX won
- LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 WinnerDN Freecs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.