Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6250efc5c08586b1da55479acb8671224744c98f56db90e17c115424f6a7f8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x437c…f458backed Under | 42c | 4,138$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.19 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd501…b86ebacked Over | 57c | 3,052$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.14 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed Over | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 191 | 22.5%43 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 36c | 1,353$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.04 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Over | 71c | 939.36$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.7 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 44c | 870.02$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.89 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Over | 67c | 784.69$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.69 | 485 | 53.4%259 W · 226 L | -19.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff2…bfb4backed Over | 67c | 717.16$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.16 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x308e…90c9backed Over | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 56c | 245.15$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.28 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked Under | 48c | 209.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Under | 46c | 208.62$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…6fcdbacked Over | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 66c | 132$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…4574backed Under | 48c | 129.68$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 39c | 115$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…08bebacked Under | 48c | 105.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…40afbacked Over | 63c | 104.48$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 345 | 65.5%226 W · 119 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9134…a227backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…159ebacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…6157backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…d83bbacked Over | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Over | 65c | 85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Under | 47c | 80.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Over | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…d199backed Over | 69c | 56.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…527ebacked Over | 73c | 47.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 625 | 58.7%367 W · 258 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 69c | 43.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 365 | 67.4%246 W · 119 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Under | 47c | 42.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75a4…3ff7backed Over | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 82 | 69.5%57 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a79…6acebacked Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5c…0398backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN Freecs (+1.5)BNK FEARX won
- Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs DN Freecs (+2.5)DN Freecs won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group StageBNK FEARX won
- LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 WinnerDN Freecs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.