Movies · resolved market
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32707ae194389a70f25314ec934851daba12d893da616c492ffe8b655b7759a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,824,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,995,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,824,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,630 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c29…7570backed Yes | 0c | 6,034,999$15,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,755 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed Yes | 0c | 4,441,310$8,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,882.62 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f14…892abacked Yes | 0c | 2,243,516$10,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,222.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f1…bdc6backed Yes | 0c | 1,998,876$4,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…b27bbacked Yes | 0c | 1,743,448$5,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,855.83 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…ad58backed Yes | 0c | 1,469,773$5,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,630.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb802…5bbebacked Yes | 0c | 1,319,100$2,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9327…d099backed Yes | 0c | 958,236$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes | 0c | 912,196$3,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,037.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce5b…047abacked Yes | 0c | 770,960$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f3…c7e9backed Yes | 0c | 742,549$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked Yes | 0c | 738,995$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.61 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 0c | 690,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x643f…e306backed Yes | 0c | 571,070$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.49 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -37%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bf…1c60backed Yes | 0c | 563,957$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a6…8117backed Yes | 1c | 559,905$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2891…8d93backed Yes | 0c | 533,032$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.87 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0522backed Yes | 0c | 529,055$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed Yes | 0c | 500,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…fd88backed Yes | 0c | 477,931$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73c…d882backed Yes | 0c | 472,945$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…53c1backed Yes | 0c | 412,284$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.85 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6f…c91ebacked Yes | 0c | 400,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ef…39b6backed Yes | 0c | 398,978$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.21 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1932…f08dbacked Yes | 0c | 357,417$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c9…1d5fbacked Yes | 0c | 350,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…c437backed Yes | 0c | 339,307$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x210b…a49fbacked Yes | 0c | 339,217$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Yes | 0c | 333,630$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x025e…6a03backed Yes | 0c | 333,600$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe971…e480backed Yes | 0c | 327,632$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a6…97abbacked Yes | 0c | 326,333$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf6…301fbacked Yes | 0c | 324,516$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…dff4backed Yes | 0c | 314,000$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Yes | 0c | 308,282$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…3443backed Yes | 0c | 305,970$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…5154backed Yes | 0c | 300,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372a…3a49backed Yes | 0c | 300,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9378…a1ddbacked Yes | 0c | 298,081$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…00c2backed Yes | 0c | 291,186$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked Yes | 1c | 268,148$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.89 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 251,745$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3b…5d31backed Yes | 0c | 224,329$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a8…ec99backed Yes | 1c | 223,575$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…d815backed Yes | 0c | 223,379$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5480…efcebacked Yes | 0c | 215,167$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Yes | 7c | 203,401$13,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,490.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8398…749abacked Yes | 0c | 200,617$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5761…0c28backed Yes | 1c | 200,600$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa48e…b476backed Yes | 0c | 189,552$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3f…b766backed Yes | 0c | 188,783$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabca…cfd1backed Yes | 0c | 188,660$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c90…47e5backed Yes | 0c | 175,155$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…4aa9backed Yes | 0c | 168,000$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c6…c53abacked Yes | 0c | 166,000$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2844…5aa1backed Yes | 0c | 165,519$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…8775backed Yes | 0c | 164,160$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa37f…e967backed Yes | 0c | 162,550$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x334e…708cbacked Yes | 0c | 160,000$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde7…d3f2backed Yes | 0c | 159,507$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1127…236abacked Yes | 0c | 156,436$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1832…2abfbacked Yes | 0c | 152,000$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…6894backed Yes | 0c | 150,718$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…1d5bbacked Yes | 0c | 150,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked Yes | 0c | 148,707$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5b…2859backed Yes | 1c | 148,180$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdf…2a6bbacked Yes | 0c | 146,775$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01f…574ebacked Yes | 0c | 145,333$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…8997backed Yes | 0c | 142,941$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4f…fda5backed Yes | 0c | 135,897$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Yes | 1c | 133,791$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b2…a270backed Yes | 0c | 129,724$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c2…0dd8backed Yes | 0c | 128,207$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.28 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5734…5c4abacked Yes | 0c | 127,782$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 1c | 127,530$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x136a…9152backed Yes | 0c | 123,941$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf2…23e3backed Yes | 0c | 123,000$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…b8f5backed Yes | 0c | 122,000$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe078…3ad8backed Yes | 0c | 117,735$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db2…9f68backed Yes | 0c | 116,667$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b35…ee5ebacked Yes | 0c | 116,143$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…aa01backed Yes | 0c | 111,504$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48c5…a736backed Yes | 0c | 110,048$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…1e6bbacked Yes | 0c | 110,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd836…b185backed Yes | 1c | 109,143$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Yes | 0c | 107,791$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…16f6backed Yes | 0c | 106,960$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…3c89backed Yes | 0c | 106,667$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7991…24adbacked Yes | 0c | 105,000$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad5b…8ebfbacked Yes | 0c | 103,988$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…46babacked Yes | 0c | 103,968$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1baa…173dbacked Yes | 0c | 103,632$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…949bbacked Yes | 0c | 102,890$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Yes | 0c | 102,600$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 1c | 100,540$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x070d…5e15backed Yes | 0c | 100,433$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.17 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…c581backed Yes | 1c | 100,403$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae0…910cbacked Yes | 0c | 100,200$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 15c | 100,183$15,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,180.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…8b9dbacked Yes | 1c | 100,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?this page
- Will Derek Turnbow die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Holly Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Joyce Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Lucas Sinclair die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Max Mayfield die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Mike Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Nancy Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Robin Buckley die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Scott Clarke die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.