Movies · resolved market
Will Lucas Sinclair die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cc51927098eaf961030c486d810308b46bfd9907b1cc769d72c3df72893ee8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf059…6f38backed Yes | 8c | 1,942$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,940$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.54 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 1,584$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.22 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb98…3249backed Yes | 6c | 1,555$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73c…d882backed Yes | 7c | 1,450$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 11c | 928$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.52 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fa…950fbacked Yes | 8c | 900.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 9c | 886.91$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.01 | 140 | 15%21 W · 119 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 5c | 862.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 170 | 10%17 W · 153 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 8c | 803$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…8565backed Yes | 6c | 690.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…0dcfbacked Yes | 4c | 580$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 5c | 575.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c76…f995backed Yes | 10c | 545.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b8…f90fbacked Yes | 13c | 540.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 6c | 521.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -81%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb2…2744backed Yes | 13c | 505.59$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300a…f137backed Yes | 6c | 490$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 487.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c2…25cbbacked Yes | 7c | 461.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 7c | 433.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 111 | 4.5%5 W · 106 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d66…fc54backed Yes | 16c | 432$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7856…43b2backed Yes | 5c | 424$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Yes | 5c | 410$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc31…bf65backed Yes | 6c | 400$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 8c | 395.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 6c | 373.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9c…0c42backed Yes | 14c | 350.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f56…215fbacked Yes | 10c | 338.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 5c | 335.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 66 | 6.1%4 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2647backed Yes | 6c | 333.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…4468backed Yes | 4c | 332$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa482…e63cbacked Yes | 6c | 327.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…3f32backed Yes | 6c | 318.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 6c | 300.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…e7d0backed Yes | 9c | 300$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1551…2b86backed Yes | 6c | 295.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 7c | 289.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 133 | 21.1%28 W · 105 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 287.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…f957backed Yes | 7c | 279.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c81…f6f6backed Yes | 9c | 264.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Yes | 5c | 251.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…e00dbacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes | 14c | 248$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 64 | 4.7%3 W · 61 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8246…4096backed Yes | 8c | 243.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4e…65ddbacked Yes | 7c | 239.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc61…eeb0backed Yes | 6c | 238.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…1d23backed Yes | 6c | 233.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 5c | 227.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74cc…f578backed Yes | 7c | 224.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…5631backed Yes | 7c | 224.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa8…d42ebacked Yes | 7c | 218.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03bb…9462backed Yes | 11c | 211.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Yes | 11c | 210.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3564…2215backed Yes | 16c | 205.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5448…e03dbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…5670backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…b27bbacked Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…8b5ebacked Yes | 13c | 195.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…a537backed Yes | 7c | 185.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…d53ebacked Yes | 6c | 182.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1257…d71fbacked Yes | 12c | 180.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a5…7e15backed Yes | 6c | 170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x295e…6adfbacked Yes | 7c | 160.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…75c7backed Yes | 12c | 160.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81f…656ebacked Yes | 13c | 159.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d78…6929backed Yes | 6c | 157.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36c7…2556backed Yes | 10c | 154.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab66…28f5backed Yes | 13c | 154.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…e9c8backed Yes | 9c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a02…c97bbacked Yes | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…8acebacked Yes | 13c | 148.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…88eabacked Yes | 9c | 147.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 8c | 129.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…c4fbbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32c…7a00backed Yes | 18c | 124.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…84bebacked Yes | 15c | 123$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…3f74backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd641…f7debacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b13…5957backed Yes | 11c | 97.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Yes | 15c | 97.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 18c | 78.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…8fedbacked No | 59c | 64.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +6.9wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lucas Sinclair die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?this page
- Will Derek Turnbow die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Holly Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Joyce Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Max Mayfield die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Mike Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Nancy Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Robin Buckley die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Scott Clarke die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.