Movies · resolved market
Will Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a8a9f6b3a593923a887219b6a35267d744c020aec1ccb215b1d6b6310b0606d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 8c | 4,255$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.59 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…b5e3backed Yes | 6c | 4,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…de96backed Yes | 1c | 3,894$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…2f28backed Yes | 6c | 3,850$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebf…2459backed Yes | 14c | 3,174$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4279…344dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,350$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f3…5669backed Yes | 9c | 2,201$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 14c | 2,084$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.09 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 5c | 2,041$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.83 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73c…d882backed Yes | 11c | 1,837$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 8c | 1,739$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.57 | 140 | 15%21 W · 119 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 7c | 1,555$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.78 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…c78ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,230$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e1…146ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,171$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7da…5edfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,169$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6f38backed Yes | 9c | 1,168$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2592…839abacked Yes | 7c | 1,086$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaaf…6188backed Yes | 10c | 1,052$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c2…25cbbacked Yes | 8c | 999.09$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Yes | 11c | 982.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…be2fbacked Yes | 10c | 980.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 6c | 954.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 66 | 6.1%4 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 7c | 936.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.26 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d5…c5b4backed Yes | 7c | 913.78$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 8c | 910.88$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 170 | 10%17 W · 153 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fa…950fbacked Yes | 9c | 863.44$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 839.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9229…65a7backed Yes | 10c | 836.28$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 831.69$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.34 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a8…d29bbacked Yes | 6c | 806.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…5818backed Yes | 13c | 774.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Yes | 10c | 744.49$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 6c | 736.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -81%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe180…889bbacked Yes | 7c | 728.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 696.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…2ef2backed Yes | 6c | 689.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7839…0a49backed Yes | 10c | 677.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a0…68fdbacked Yes | 6c | 650$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 7c | 629.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…5c5bbacked Yes | 6c | 624.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d78…6929backed Yes | 9c | 623.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…c65fbacked Yes | 7c | 620$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…3f32backed Yes | 7c | 586.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 5c | 557.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed Yes | 7c | 551.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf90b…cb6cbacked Yes | 8c | 538.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ba…a5bebacked Yes | 8c | 512.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ead…3183backed Yes | 12c | 508$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde5e…3a94backed Yes | 6c | 500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x210f…1864backed Yes | 6c | 500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4d…caa6backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…6525backed Yes | 13c | 496.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…b468backed Yes | 9c | 469.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed Yes | 9c | 456.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4e…65ddbacked Yes | 8c | 448.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 6c | 447.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f56…215fbacked Yes | 13c | 443.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…e7d0backed Yes | 9c | 434.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 6c | 432.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5072…70c6backed Yes | 7c | 429.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3c…a02abacked Yes | 11c | 411.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 5c | 400$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 67 | 4.5%3 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ef…be38backed Yes | 6c | 382.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb1…2e56backed Yes | 13c | 373.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 11c | 358.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d06…9aefbacked Yes | 8c | 355.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…9030backed Yes | 6c | 340.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac49…6269backed Yes | 15c | 323.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2874…c2e7backed Yes | 6c | 313.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…b66ebacked Yes | 13c | 310.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Yes | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe429…7fd2backed Yes | 7c | 293.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ea…5595backed Yes | 9c | 279.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -69%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded2…1c5cbacked Yes | 7c | 277.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc384…807ebacked Yes | 16c | 276.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8246…4096backed Yes | 7c | 276.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd316…3ab1backed Yes | 6c | 273.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9a…98ccbacked Yes | 7c | 269.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c2…1398backed Yes | 7c | 261.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…5cedbacked Yes | 12c | 256.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a1…1e6abacked Yes | 7c | 254.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…61fabacked Yes | 8c | 250.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Yes | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 11c | 249.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce0e…fb2ebacked Yes | 12c | 245.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38f…0ff5backed Yes | 12c | 244.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x837d…39c2backed Yes | 8c | 240.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba2c…6a38backed Yes | 8c | 240$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x531d…a92ebacked Yes | 8c | 237.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53a…37cfbacked Yes | 9c | 232.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -55%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…4f06backed Yes | 17c | 232.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4332…975dbacked Yes | 12c | 227.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd7…34e6backed Yes | 6c | 220$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…3f3abacked Yes | 6c | 209.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc462…c00ebacked Yes | 10c | 208.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7232…07fabacked Yes | 10c | 204.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff94…143cbacked Yes | 10c | 201.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?this page
- Will Derek Turnbow die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Holly Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Joyce Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Lucas Sinclair die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Max Mayfield die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Mike Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Nancy Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Robin Buckley die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Scott Clarke die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.