Movies · resolved market
Will Mike Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03952391a7f60605d0af6ea5b9093bd60357ef234d4ea77f7898b9020534494f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73c4…ba3bbacked Yes | 9c | 7,529$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…15e1backed Yes | 6c | 5,810$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.19 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +14.1wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 2c | 5,528$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.67 | 111 | 4.5%5 W · 106 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 7c | 3,516$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.26 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c90…47e5backed Yes | 13c | 3,508$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…4d1cbacked Yes | 4c | 3,414$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a36…3aabbacked Yes | 10c | 1,983$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,758$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.33 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7856…43b2backed Yes | 6c | 1,745$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2891…8d93backed Yes | 6c | 1,655$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53b4…0139backed Yes | 6c | 1,500$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fa…950fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,467$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…c65fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,420$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…94fabacked Yes | 4c | 1,416$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,390$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 170 | 10%17 W · 153 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc5…f5fbbacked Yes | 6c | 1,344$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35eb…69ffbacked Yes | 5c | 1,004$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x262c…130abacked Yes | 13c | 892.5$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…efc0backed Yes | 4c | 820.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…04a9backed Yes | 6c | 797.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed Yes | 3c | 761.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…be76backed Yes | 9c | 706.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 6c | 680$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 140 | 15%21 W · 119 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddef…d52bbacked Yes | 4c | 651.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6334…1c52backed Yes | 4c | 644.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 6c | 604.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c1…93d2backed Yes | 7c | 600$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…f9b8backed Yes | 12c | 599.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bc…fa0fbacked Yes | 5c | 595.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…110bbacked Yes | 7c | 579.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 4c | 564.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1706…52dbbacked Yes | 11c | 564.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 4c | 562.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 66 | 6.1%4 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a0…68fdbacked Yes | 4c | 550.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…b468backed Yes | 6c | 546.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 6c | 525.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…ad1bbacked Yes | 12c | 520.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 514.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 12c | 500.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 5c | 469.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 9c | 452$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…5249backed Yes | 5c | 450$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed Yes | 9c | 442.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 16c | 437.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8246…4096backed Yes | 5c | 418.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…bb60backed Yes | 12c | 416.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…5818backed Yes | 12c | 379.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fb…a48ebacked Yes | 7c | 357.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d25…6e45backed Yes | 4c | 350$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c2…25cbbacked Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 331.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 5c | 311.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -81%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f44…9e3ebacked Yes | 7c | 301.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 4c | 299.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dba…5531backed Yes | 8c | 299.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…6955backed Yes | 5c | 293.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4d…4916backed Yes | 11c | 283.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9c…0c42backed Yes | 18c | 282.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7b…feddbacked Yes | 18c | 280.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5b…162cbacked Yes | 5c | 275.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa111…0c79backed Yes | 8c | 245.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x748c…214abacked Yes | 7c | 235.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e4…70f5backed Yes | 4c | 235$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6295…7fadbacked Yes | 7c | 220$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd22b…48d9backed Yes | 6c | 206.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…a7b3backed Yes | 9c | 204.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…a537backed Yes | 7c | 201.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e8…0af7backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eaa…ccc9backed Yes | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356a…1354backed Yes | 5c | 197.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbc…7032backed Yes | 8c | 195.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 7c | 192.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8e…b1c7backed Yes | 11c | 176.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4f…e58cbacked Yes | 9c | 172.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d83…15ebbacked Yes | 12c | 171.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc926…8058backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…8acebacked Yes | 12c | 164.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aea…badebacked Yes | 6c | 158.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…5631backed Yes | 10c | 150.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…593cbacked Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…4f06backed Yes | 10c | 144.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 7c | 144.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddcf…cbf5backed Yes | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 11c | 134.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…1db9backed Yes | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…99a3backed Yes | 8c | 124.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e27…c6bebacked Yes | 9c | 112$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec26…c346backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…acf7backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…c5e0backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe929…299fbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362d…ac5abacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 12c | 86.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mike Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?this page
- Will Derek Turnbow die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Holly Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Joyce Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Lucas Sinclair die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Max Mayfield die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Nancy Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Robin Buckley die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Scott Clarke die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.