Movies · resolved market
Will Robin Buckley die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60d823e3653426ce000c5e50c449cbda7b3f9289c7e30d9b8ce866a6553d95a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x110f…8f39backed No | 75c | 2,681$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.49 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +8.7wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2891…8d93backed Yes | 16c | 2,467$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3956…f7dfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,323$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…c581backed Yes | 15c | 1,192$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed No | 77c | 1,067$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.03 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd30…b2d2backed Yes | 9c | 1,061$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…6448backed Yes | 15c | 983$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed47…5d79backed Yes | 25c | 920.17$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…8fedbacked No | 72c | 908.85$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.41 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +6.9wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed Yes | 21c | 797.91$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…9800backed Yes | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…1cb2backed Yes | 20c | 604.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35eb…69ffbacked Yes | 9c | 531.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x548b…8390backed Yes | 19c | 515.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11cc…0785backed Yes | 23c | 508.55$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…b468backed Yes | 13c | 508.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed Yes | 12c | 500$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c2…25cbbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe581…4afebacked Yes | 10c | 498.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 12c | 484.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…b27bbacked Yes | 9c | 483.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 9c | 478.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…a23cbacked Yes | 11c | 475.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 9c | 446.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 13c | 434.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 8c | 412$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 8c | 406.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 66 | 6.1%4 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…e39bbacked Yes | 9c | 385.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 8c | 356.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b51…b4e2backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 11c | 299.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…4ababacked Yes | 17c | 289.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f39…5bc5backed Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 283.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe2…9ff0backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7443…b90fbacked Yes | 10c | 249.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d9e2backed No | 76c | 243.1$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.21 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…0e25backed Yes | 8c | 237.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…3f32backed Yes | 10c | 234.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8911…d388backed Yes | 25c | 232.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa92b…d4d8backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300a…f137backed Yes | 10c | 208$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3c…a02abacked Yes | 25c | 202.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed4d…d601backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd157…0177backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…e15fbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 77c | 199.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8246…4096backed Yes | 10c | 196.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4d…caa6backed Yes | 7c | 189.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac6…117dbacked Yes | 11c | 182.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84b…95b1backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb350…047abacked Yes | 6c | 180$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 174.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb10…38a1backed Yes | 12c | 168.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257a…c0c6backed Yes | 12c | 167.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b9…8407backed Yes | 23c | 160.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…5670backed Yes | 17c | 160$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe95c…0b1ebacked Yes | 22c | 157.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…b7dcbacked Yes | 16c | 152.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…b898backed Yes | 26c | 151.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x153e…3046backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb506…a470backed Yes | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 11c | 145.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…0664backed Yes | 8c | 144.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 14c | 141.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…61fabacked Yes | 14c | 138.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…c78ebacked Yes | 11c | 136.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 136$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…fbf2backed Yes | 15c | 135.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 20c | 130.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 195 | 32.8%64 W · 131 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22b…48d9backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 15c | 124$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 133 | 21.1%28 W · 105 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…5889backed Yes | 20c | 123.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfd…53a0backed Yes | 25c | 120.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4e…65ddbacked Yes | 17c | 112.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…e00dbacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…2c0dbacked Yes | 24c | 105.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 23c | 105$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf724…61b8backed Yes | 11c | 104.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…3e38backed Yes | 24c | 104$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…16f7backed Yes | 12c | 103.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d16…ec24backed Yes | 23c | 101.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…f137backed Yes | 25c | 101.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c81…f6f6backed Yes | 25c | 100.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 13c | 100.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb436…bb3cbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…d648backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…a4fcbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 4.5%3 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59fb…eceabacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…6514backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa677…8430backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…7bb3backed Yes | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49da…0f6abacked Yes | 23c | 85.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c7…212bbacked Yes | 25c | 80.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1090…8dabbacked Yes | 15c | 65.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b9…850fbacked Yes | 22c | 55.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Robin Buckley die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?this page
- Will Derek Turnbow die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Holly Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Joyce Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Lucas Sinclair die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Max Mayfield die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Mike Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Nancy Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Scott Clarke die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.