Movies · resolved market
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb20cdd44bde2ceaa491e6d21be3eebb1f591f86611a0d362effc6f3e1a901ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $483,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $493,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $483,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 647 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79ac…4377backed Yes | 75c | 52,878$39,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,459.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f14…892abacked No | 1c | 49,164$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 10c | 20,691$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefc1…dfcdbacked No | 28c | 20,269$5,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,625.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…53c1backed Yes | 71c | 15,654$11,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,582.61 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…abd5backed No | 24c | 14,936$3,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,578.33 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Yes | 66c | 13,329$8,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,565.16 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x643f…e306backed Yes | 73c | 10,863$7,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,904.24 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -37%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked No | 29c | 10,013$2,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,930.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90b…cb6cbacked No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 70c | 9,423$6,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.32 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…ae1ebacked No | 39c | 8,765$3,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,449.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 29c | 7,772$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.45 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4ab1backed No | 1c | 7,685$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.97 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…1277backed No | 1c | 7,542$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb902…6b54backed No | 34c | 7,116$2,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,436.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 31c | 5,295$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5761…0c28backed Yes | 71c | 5,150$3,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x372a…3a49backed Yes | 65c | 5,000$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…8fedbacked Yes | 67c | 4,627$3,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.01 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +6.9wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa729…98f3backed No | 24c | 4,160$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed No | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed No | 3c | 3,895$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a36…3aabbacked Yes | 73c | 3,822$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e81…f0a2backed Yes | 75c | 3,600$2,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…d7a2backed No | 6c | 3,255$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…cabbbacked No | 34c | 3,236$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…9391backed No | 3c | 3,198$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…045abacked No | 1c | 2,721$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9331…4b41backed No | 32c | 2,612$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368b…2458backed Yes | 67c | 2,393$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x110f…8f39backed Yes | 67c | 2,300$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.99 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +8.7wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked No | 29c | 2,189$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8f…d7e3backed No | 10c | 2,014$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d80…c953backed No | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f4…2e5ebacked Yes | 69c | 1,902$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 16c | 1,874$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.15 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.28per pick | 17cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked No | 32c | 1,848$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 31c | 1,781$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a1…695dbacked No | 1c | 1,652$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes | 69c | 1,574$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3c…3daabacked No | 33c | 1,516$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…ff2dbacked No | 3c | 1,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…15e1backed Yes | 68c | 1,500$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.99 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +14.1wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…4b63backed No | 29c | 1,497$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…0664backed No | 1c | 1,383$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…3c94backed Yes | 74c | 1,377$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3516…ea50backed No | 15c | 1,371$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 71c | 1,328$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.77 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed No | 24c | 1,304$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.93 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8327…ff66backed No | 3c | 1,284$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc72…9ccfbacked Yes | 76c | 1,248$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 34c | 1,242$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.15 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3841…cd5cbacked Yes | 78c | 1,219$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ef…39b6backed Yes | 74c | 1,216$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.66 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked Yes | 71c | 1,163$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.65 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8ab9backed No | 18c | 1,122$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 15c | 1,066$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.1 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5c…1f26backed Yes | 78c | 1,060$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…3d48backed No | 26c | 1,001$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.47 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…b1fdbacked Yes | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9781…bc2abacked No | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…6b3abacked Yes | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Yes | 62c | 999.98$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 28c | 907.31$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fa…1327backed No | 18c | 899.98$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.1 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…d7f1backed No | 30c | 899.93$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…6a54backed No | 28c | 897.37$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55a6…f7dfbacked Yes | 74c | 891.97$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ea…5595backed No | 32c | 876.37$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.61 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -69%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 29c | 835.43$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb3…2868backed Yes | 71c | 823.62$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 31c | 817.76$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.53 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda1e…f3cdbacked No | 34c | 813.51$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 26c | 799.97$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2718…ee75backed No | 33c | 772.73$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021f…120dbacked Yes | 74c | 760.12$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x932c…8658backed No | 27c | 755.12$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 28c | 749.96$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 29c | 738.3$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.67 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…52a9backed Yes | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Yes | 73c | 711.8$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4efb…f5fbbacked Yes | 76c | 709.95$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…05eabacked No | 28c | 703.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd059…2a48backed No | 29c | 700.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Yes | 70c | 699.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9462…3d7dbacked No | 26c | 675.82$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…e1abbacked No | 30c | 669.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…f055backed Yes | 77c | 664.57$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.57 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8e…1dc1backed No | 37c | 649.43$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed No | 24c | 637.22$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2009…903ebacked Yes | 78c | 626.27$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee1e…37cabacked No | 28c | 619.43$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…6cfebacked No | 27c | 613$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.51 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cc…f578backed Yes | 66c | 604.41$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed No | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?this page
- Will Derek Turnbow die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Holly Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Joyce Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Lucas Sinclair die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Max Mayfield die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Mike Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Nancy Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Robin Buckley die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Scott Clarke die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.