Movies · resolved market
Will Scott Clarke die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa48bc2c648452d113445c5f5a478661ea66acafd8562bc4781c46b44e14b36dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee76…8fedbacked No | 71c | 2,660$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.61 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +6.9wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 76c | 2,005$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.01 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ed…e774backed No | 78c | 1,817$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…75c7backed Yes | 20c | 1,792$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Yes | 19c | 1,450$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed No | 78c | 1,349$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…574abacked Yes | 18c | 1,172$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3e…548ebacked No | 80c | 1,156$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe147…81aabacked Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…93a1backed Yes | 20c | 972.22$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddef…d52bbacked Yes | 37c | 964.91$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x852e…8bf9backed No | 80c | 935.91$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 72c | 903.95$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.34 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed Yes | 20c | 793.41$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d79…1004backed Yes | 26c | 771$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…6a54backed Yes | 33c | 765.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…3001backed No | 80c | 704.16$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 73c | 648.34$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.09 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b00…0909backed Yes | 3c | 595$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc372…dda1backed Yes | 13c | 583.32$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f13…bde5backed Yes | 32c | 578.72$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 12c | 555$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2e…c9dfbacked Yes | 46c | 543.15$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8ab9backed Yes | 17c | 494.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc31…bf65backed Yes | 19c | 478.28$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed No | 70c | 450$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…af3abacked Yes | 29c | 420.2$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1078…6276backed No | 80c | 394.92$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed No | 79c | 386.3$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.48 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f70…d9e5backed Yes | 27c | 366.55$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 33c | 366.36$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.11 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked No | 80c | 333$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…9092backed Yes | 31c | 315.44$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…bb60backed Yes | 33c | 311.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…9d74backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 19c | 299.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…ffd2backed Yes | 35c | 294.41$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35eb…69ffbacked Yes | 18c | 283.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…5d2cbacked No | 76c | 281.68$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…5c0bbacked No | 72c | 276.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…6cccbacked Yes | 20c | 255$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed No | 68c | 240.99$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…f786backed No | 63c | 240$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…be76backed Yes | 23c | 239.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…e39bbacked Yes | 18c | 238.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 17c | 229.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce0e…fb2ebacked Yes | 20c | 200.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…b27bbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…42e3backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…09c6backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 73c | 199.52$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e27…c6bebacked Yes | 25c | 198.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb721…facabacked Yes | 30c | 198.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c60…9c5ebacked Yes | 17c | 191.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 22c | 186.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b89…3380backed Yes | 32c | 183.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…c93ebacked Yes | 34c | 182.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x643f…e306backed No | 53c | 176.97$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.18 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -37%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…da4abacked Yes | 28c | 176.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…00c2backed Yes | 27c | 174$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…d3fdbacked Yes | 32c | 171$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe871…8ae7backed Yes | 30c | 170.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8b…f0b0backed No | 44c | 170$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a9…9bcbbacked Yes | 29c | 170$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…04a9backed Yes | 23c | 169$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebd…9173backed Yes | 12c | 167.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c1…29e3backed Yes | 20c | 165$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…9b9fbacked Yes | 32c | 164.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 16c | 161.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde5e…3a94backed No | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 75c | 158.22$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8967…99ffbacked Yes | 29c | 155.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 73c | 152.61$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…c85fbacked Yes | 21c | 142.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…7da2backed Yes | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 73c | 139.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…dbbabacked Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300a…f137backed Yes | 28c | 137.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked No | 74c | 136.66$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda40…bfc0backed Yes | 36c | 133.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8561…936ebacked Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c1…93d2backed No | 73c | 129.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…7cadbacked No | 79c | 126.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1551…2b86backed Yes | 32c | 126.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4d…7b11backed Yes | 28c | 123.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b65…effdbacked Yes | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…39e6backed No | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98dd…801ebacked Yes | 20c | 119$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd982…a29cbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8246…4096backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…05fdbacked Yes | 17c | 109.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d3…8facbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…4f10backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…4357backed Yes | 20c | 104.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e8…e9b5backed Yes | 30c | 101.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…ce09backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Scott Clarke die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?this page
- Will Derek Turnbow die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Holly Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Joyce Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Lucas Sinclair die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Max Mayfield die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Mike Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Nancy Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Robin Buckley die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
- Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.