Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6935b5013de7ba2f9d62cf2f85e3dc74bec0c5c48531dc4aff91ab7f0d3a532
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Natus Vincere, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 11,000$5,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,121.24 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 9,489$5,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,159.19 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 7,600$3,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,646.76 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 5,286$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.12 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked Team Liquid | 54c | 4,305$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.04 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +11.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…2aabbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 3,800$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2a…1a47backed Team Liquid | 55c | 3,800$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 3,200$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 3,200$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.51 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Liquid | 59c | 3,079$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.12 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 3,000$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 2,636$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.37 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…5266backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 2,287$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4958…a146backed Team Liquid | 56c | 2,287$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 52c | 2,195$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.54 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 2,100$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Liquid | 34c | 2,003$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.34 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,800$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.12 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Team Liquid | 53c | 1,526$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.42 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…663dbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,363$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…aea0backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,264$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Team Liquid | 73c | 1,262$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.79 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc4…c01ebacked Team Liquid | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…751ebacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ae…8fbdbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,152$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,122$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.2 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Team Liquid | 54c | 1,116$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.6 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,101$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,100$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc06…3e6bbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 1,064$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed9d…517dbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,041$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 49c | 1,018$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.81 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…2922backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,018$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x516c…9687backed Team Liquid | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 966$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.38 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce97…cd59backed Team Liquid | 53c | 954$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Team Liquid | 53c | 943$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.21 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x326f…1ad5backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 896$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 851.36$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.95 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a43…44cdbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 793$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a2…9179backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 783$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 764.16$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Team Liquid | 61c | 725.23$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.34 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9b…fababacked Team Liquid | 65c | 723.01$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…ed8fbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 712.28$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.7 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036e…9377backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 702$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…4c89backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 690$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc090…ec1fbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 635$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d97…f2bebacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 630$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.4 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 625.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.18 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 623.59$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Team Liquid | 56c | 606$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.15 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f9…6910backed Team Liquid | 67c | 602.28$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.72 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…100abacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 590$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 585$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.69 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 580.03$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.16 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 577.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.57 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40af…1c13backed Team Liquid | 53c | 541$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Team Liquid | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4279…2c59backed Team Liquid | 53c | 518$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938a…a7a0backed Team Liquid | 53c | 517$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 501.51$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.13 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…198fbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Liquid | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ac…6b00backed Team Liquid | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2693…1781backed Team Liquid | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…9c90backed Team Liquid | 53c | 496$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 486.46$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 471.98$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.66 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Liquid | 74c | 467.5$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Team Liquid | 71c | 453.86$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.32 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -8.0wins | -0.28per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 448.62$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.36 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 432.97$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.63 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 419.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e3…22c8backed Team Liquid | 53c | 402$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd8…1f6bbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…2f60backed Team Liquid | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbacc…fbe8backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 387.5$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccaa…38a2backed Team Liquid | 53c | 381$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…d2a7backed Team Liquid | 55c | 363$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328d…4557backed Team Liquid | 53c | 352$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf9…6ef2backed Team Liquid | 53c | 350$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5528…85c5backed Team Liquid | 53c | 350$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Natus Vincere | 9c | 349.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…b518backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 343.33$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3289…791dbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 340$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Liquid | 59c | 339.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.26 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ba…c976backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 318.91$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.12 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…bdf2backed Team Liquid | 53c | 310$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8e…af16backed Team Liquid | 34c | 304.22$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…aa7cbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee50…9e60backed Team Liquid | 53c | 293$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.71 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…608dbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 290$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Team Liquid | 15c | 266.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.3 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 265.67$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.92 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Liquid | 45c | 258.16$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.74 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Team Liquid | 53c | 255$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.85 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.