South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CS 2 de Mayo vs. Club Alianza Lima end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed797cb3e424ab85a352aecc7060e523b3bc04be3933dfbf7e3a2ab71ef2ddd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 332.06$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.75 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 33c | 303.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Yes | 31c | 156$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Yes | 31c | 155.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Yes | 67c | 59.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Yes | 31c | 54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed No | 69c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 64c | 37.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed No | 69c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed No | 69c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 70c | 36.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…a337backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed No | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 55c | 27.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed No | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed No | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed No | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CS 2 de Mayo vs. Club Alianza Lima end in a draw?this page
- Will CS 2 de Mayo win on 2026-02-04?Yes won
- Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-02-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.