Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: TYLOO vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9514eeb5fe51c5df83f3b45325bbbffdf9375f8b2b6c980f7ef297cdb0b79c1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TYLOOof TYLOO, Trace Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Trace Esports | 50c | 2,919$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.36 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed TYLOO | 50c | 1,751$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.7 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed TYLOO | 52c | 1,144$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed TYLOO | 51c | 270$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 342 | 53.2%182 W · 160 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed TYLOO | 49c | 268.25$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.88 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9df5…7e41backed Trace Esports | 57c | 226.52$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Trace Esports | 33c | 225.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked TYLOO | 65c | 184.27$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.27 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Trace Esports | 27c | 166.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Trace Esports | 30c | 163.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Trace Esports | 30c | 114$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5b…0324backed TYLOO | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed TYLOO | 55c | 91.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa090…9854backed Trace Esports | 55c | 90.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Trace Esports | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed TYLOO | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TYLOO | 69c | 78.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Trace Esports | 15c | 69.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Trace Esports | 16c | 69.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed TYLOO | 43c | 59.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…9173backed TYLOO | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Trace Esports | 47c | 58.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Trace Esports | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab31…c16ebacked TYLOO | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Trace Esports | 50c | 54.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed TYLOO | 48c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked TYLOO | 47c | 50.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…5b3abacked TYLOO | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Trace Esports | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed TYLOO | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked Trace Esports | 45c | 47.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…3798backed TYLOO | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…3533backed TYLOO | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed TYLOO | 48c | 38.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Trace Esports | 42c | 36.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…5f64backed TYLOO | 76c | 34.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked Trace Esports | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…3b59backed TYLOO | 73c | 28.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f50…0eafbacked TYLOO | 74c | 26.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…a337backed Trace Esports | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Trace Esports | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: TYLOO vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: TYLOO vs Trace Esports - Map 1 WinnerTYLOO won
- Valorant: TYLOO vs Trace Esports - Map 2 WinnerTYLOO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.