Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd46bfdef1108d613086650b7e677bc5faaddb3067b0f86afc897231a9251082
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 32,872$21,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,029.13 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 32c | 30,000$9,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,449.99 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed No | 31c | 1,999$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.73 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 1,548$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.5 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 69c | 1,262$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.03 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…1f24backed Yes | 79c | 849.18$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 71c | 791.47$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 64c | 670.47$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.66 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 68c | 449.82$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.11 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 13c | 376.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 21c | 348.76$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed No | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…df16backed No | 58c | 200$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 69c | 188.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 12c | 110.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 24c | 105$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 68c | 100.45$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 30c | 98.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.18 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Yes | 31c | 89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked No | 69c | 73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Yes | 31c | 55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Yes | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Yes | 31c | 43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked No | 69c | 36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…0b91backed No | 71c | 28.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked No | 69c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…cccebacked No | 69c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 71cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…a337backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2025-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.