Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04c67452bce1bbaecdc9059dd532134025680c32a065f98c2fdbafccd3aba806
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 41c | 30,000$12,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,300 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 59c | 26,978$15,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,061.07 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 59c | 20,667$12,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,481.35 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 20,469$13,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,331.29 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Yes | 41c | 19,655$8,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,053.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 37c | 9,000$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,349.88 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 7,067$4,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990.33 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…5b1fbacked Yes | 43c | 4,780$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 41c | 4,599$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.79 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.98 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 61c | 2,564$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.93 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 42c | 1,434$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.98 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 59c | 1,350$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.5 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed Yes | 17c | 1,265$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.78 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 13cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Yes | 27c | 1,254$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5b…6e33backed Yes | 42c | 978.57$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…533cbacked Yes | 42c | 940$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 907.11$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.89 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed No | 59c | 776.27$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.27 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 66c | 746.98$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.18 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 41c | 740$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.4 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Yes | 46c | 629.67$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 33c | 593.16$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 58c | 555$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2e…bfa2backed Yes | 23c | 525.67$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 38c | 520.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed No | 60c | 475$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 59c | 462.15$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.48 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Yes | 40c | 374.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 59c | 362.61$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.67 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 11c | 349$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 36c | 333.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 41c | 314.48$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…c6a8backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…2c0dbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…ea47backed Yes | 41c | 269.95$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.68 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 68c | 248.08$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6715…eb49backed Yes | 6c | 229$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Yes | 42c | 222$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe724…1938backed Yes | 42c | 210$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 41c | 169.02$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd549…296dbacked Yes | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae2…b997backed Yes | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 75c | 138.75$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 41c | 119.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee75…f23abacked Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 16c | 107.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 46c | 101.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 38cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 72c | 98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…ccc2backed Yes | 42c | 90.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +189.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 26c | 75.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30e3…b595backed No | 65c | 69.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 64c | 64.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28d…c9c6backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…ca76backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x196a…f34fbacked Yes | 42c | 60.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…6dd4backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e74…32c3backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -51%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed No | 60c | 40.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 60c | 38.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 40c | 32.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 40c | 32.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed No | 59c | 32.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Yes | 41c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…ae1ebacked No | 60c | 30.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Yes | 41c | 29.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…7556backed Yes | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 55c | 25.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed No | 68c | 17.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw?No won
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2025-12-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.